Kraken vs Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 13)
By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker ·
Last updated: October 13, 2026 | Odds checked: October 13, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
The Seattle Kraken (4-2-0) visit the winless Philadelphia Flyers (0-5-2) tonight at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena (NBCSP; Prime Video, KONG, KING in Seattle). Oddly, Philly is the -118 to -122 favorite despite scoring eight goals in seven games. Our model makes Seattle a 69% favorite. Our pick: Kraken moneyline (-105), medium confidence.
Kraken vs Flyers Odds
| Market | Kraken | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -102 to +102 | -118 to -122 |
| Puck line | +1.5 (-250 to -270) | -1.5 (+200 to +210) |
| Total 5.5 | Over -133 to -139 | Under +110 to +114 |
Some books hang 6 instead (over -106 to -110). At -120, Philadelphia's implied win probability is about 54.5%; Seattle at even money implies about 50%, well short of the model's 69%.
Kraken: 4.33 Goals a Night
Seattle averages 4.33 goals per game (26 in six), with three six-goal nights already. The Kraken won their last two on the road, 6-3 at Detroit and 5-3 at Washington on Sunday.
The power play is clicking at 23.5%. The weak spot is the penalty kill (75.0%), and Seattle gives up more shots than it takes (26.2 for, 31.3 against).
Scoring is spread out: Jared McCann has 7 points, and Chandler Stephenson, Vince Dunn and Kaapo Kakko have 6 each.
In goal, Joey Daccord is 3-1-0 with a 2.73 GAA and .913 save percentage, and Philipp Grubauer is 1-1-0, 2.59, .917. Daccord missed the morning skate for maintenance, per NHL.com, so watch the warmup.
Flyers: Still Looking for a Win
Philadelphia opened with a 7-0 home loss to Pittsburgh and hasn't won since. The last three games were all regulation losses: 2-1 at Ottawa, 5-1 at Boston and 4-1 to Carolina on Sunday.
The numbers are grim: 1.14 goals for and 4.00 against per game, 20.0 shots for and 35.1 against, a 9.5% power play and an 80.8% penalty kill.
Their leading scorer, Travis Konecny (3 points), is out, and so are defensemen Cam York and Rasmus Ristolainen. Matvei Michkov has two goals.
Joseph Woll (0-2-2, 2.95 GAA, .914) has been the steadier option over Dan Vladar (0-3-0, 5.08, .857). NHL.com didn't confirm tonight's starter.
Key Matchup: Seattle's Offense vs Philadelphia's Defense
| Stat | Kraken | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / game | 4.33 | 1.14 |
| Goals against / game | 2.83 | 4.00 |
| Shots for / game | 26.2 | 20.0 |
| Shots against / game | 31.3 | 35.1 |
| Power play | 23.5% | 9.5% |
Philadelphia allows 35.1 shots a night, and Seattle's attack has turned volume into goals. If Woll starts, he has to steal one behind a defense missing York and Ristolainen.
Injury Report
| Team | Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken | Ryan Lindgren | D | IR (upper body) |
| Kraken | Jacob Melanson | F | IR (upper body) |
| Flyers | Travis Konecny | F | Out (lower body) |
| Flyers | Cam York | D | Out (upper body) |
| Flyers | Rasmus Ristolainen | D | Out (upper body) |
| Flyers | Nikita Grebenkin | F | Out (back) |
Flyers forward Denver Barkey is also on IR (lower body). Jack Studnicka was recalled and is set for his season debut, per NHL.com.
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Kraken vs Flyers Prediction
Our pick: Kraken moneyline (-105), medium confidence. The model has Seattle at 69%, and the market is pricing the Kraken near 50%. That gap is the value.
- Seattle scores 4.33 a game; Philadelphia scores 1.14.
- Philly gives up 35.1 shots per game, and Seattle has turned its chances into goals.
- The Flyers are missing their points leader and two regular defensemen.
- Philadelphia's 9.5% power play hasn't shown it can exploit Seattle's leaky 75.0% kill.
The risk: Seattle allows 31.3 shots a game, and a hot night from Woll keeps a low-event game close. The goalie news for Seattle is worth a look before puck drop.
Projected score: Kraken 4, Flyers 2.
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