Analysis
Minnesota Wild vs Seattle Kraken Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct. 24, 2026)
By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker
The 20-second version
- No edge: our model leans Seattle at 57% with low confidence, while the market prices Minnesota near 60% (-147 to -156).
- Seattle scores 3.82 goals per game (4th) on only 26.4 shots, and allows 31.5 shots per game.
- The Wild power play (25.7%, 6th) meets a Kraken penalty kill at 68.8% (27th).
- Jesper Wallstedt is 6-2-2 with a 2.19 GAA and a .915 save percentage.
The Minnesota Wild (6-3-2) visit the Seattle Kraken (7-3-1) at Climate Pledge Arena on Saturday at 10 p.m. ET, on Prime Video and KONG in Seattle and Wild+ in Minnesota. Minnesota is a road favorite at -147 to -156, with Seattle at +125 to +130. The tension: the NHL's fourth-best offense against its fifth-best defense, and a Kraken attack scoring far more than its shot volume suggests. Our call: no edge.
How these teams got here
Seattle is off to the best start in franchise history, with 15 points through 11 games. The Kraken have won two straight and are 5-1-1 over their last seven, most recently a 5-3 win over Utah on Thursday, when Mackie Samoskevich broke a tie with 5:25 left.
The wins haven't been tidy. Seattle blew multi-goal third-period leads in back-to-back games: a 3-0 lead against Detroit (won 4-3 in a shootout) and a 3-1 lead against Utah. The Kraken are 3-1-0 at home.
Minnesota is the mirror image: 4-0-0 at home, 2-3-2 on the road. The Wild have dropped three straight road games and opened a five-game trip 0-1-1, with a 4-3 loss past regulation in Edmonton and a 2-1 loss in Calgary on Thursday. Both teams last played Thursday, so rest is even. Minnesota plays again Sunday in Vancouver.
Kaprizov and Wallstedt vs. Seattle's finishing
Kirill Kaprizov carries the Wild: 11 goals and 17 points in 11 games, three of them on the power play. His seven-game point streak ended in Calgary. Quinn Hughes has 11 assists from the back end, and Matt Boldy has 9 points.
Minnesota's real edge is territorial. The Wild take 30.6 shots per game and allow 25.7, and Jesper Wallstedt has been steady behind that: 6-2-2, 2.19 GAA, .915 save percentage in 10 starts. With Filip Gustavsson out, Wallstedt has made 10 of the 11 starts.
Seattle's profile is the opposite. The Kraken score 3.82 goals per game (4th) on only 26.4 shots, while giving up 31.5 shots per game. That kind of finishing usually cools off. Scoring is spread out: Frederick Gaudreau leads with 6 goals, and Jordan Eberle, Chandler Stephenson and Kaapo Kakko have 9 points each.
In net, Philipp Grubauer (4-1-1, 2.76 GAA, .907) has started four of Seattle's last five and made 33 saves Thursday. Joey Daccord sits at 3.89 and .882. Neither team had confirmed a starter at publish time.
Special teams and the injury list
This is where Minnesota should cash in. The Wild power play runs at 25.7% (6th), and Seattle's penalty kill is 68.8% (27th). The flip side: the Wild PK is just 78.4%, and they gave up five power-play goals across their recent losses. Seattle's power play is at 25.0%.
The Wild are thin. Defenseman Brock Faber (fractured skull) and both Marcus and Nick Foligno are on injured reserve, along with Gustavsson. Forward Maxim Shabanov (6 points) was a late scratch in Calgary and is day-to-day. Jared Spurgeon and Olli Maatta returned Thursday, which helps the blue line.
Seattle is without defenseman Ryan Lindgren (upper body), plus Jake O'Brien and Jacob Melanson, all on injured reserve. Losing Lindgren hurts a penalty kill that already ranks near the bottom.
Prediction: No edge
Our model leans Seattle at 57%, with low confidence, while the market prices Minnesota near 60%. That gap is wide, but low confidence is below our bar, and the numbers split:
- Shot share favors Minnesota: 30.6 for and 25.7 against, vs. Seattle's 26.4 and 31.5.
- Special teams favor Minnesota: a 25.7% power play against a 68.8% penalty kill.
- Finishing and form favor Seattle: 3.82 goals per game, two straight wins, 3-1-0 at home.
- Minnesota's road form is poor: 2-3-2 away, three straight road losses.
The swing factor is the goalie announcements. A Wallstedt vs. Grubauer matchup is the baseline; a Daccord start would tilt things toward Minnesota.
On the total (6 at some books, 6.5 at others), the two profiles pull opposite ways: Seattle's games average 7.4 goals, Minnesota's 5.4. We'd pass there too.
