Week 10 NFL Picks
Week 10 officially signals the start of the second half of the 2023 NFL season. Sports Hub’s handicappers have a solid handle on what’s going to happen on the field. Some week 10 NFL picks have already been posted.
After eight weeks, there are no winless teams, and there are no undefeated teams. Nobody is running away with it, with most divisions very close. The Jacksonville Jaguars have the largest lead in any division, with three wins more than any of their division rivals.
If the playoffs started this week, the Kansas City Chiefs would be off the number one seed in the AFC, with the Philadelphia Eagles the number one seed in the NFC. This was written prior to the huge Week 9 matchup between the Chiefs and Dolphins in Germany. It’s a game that could have a significant impact on the playoff picture.
Maybe you’ve already looked at the betting board for Week 10, getting ready for your Week 10 NFL picks and leans. If you did, you might have noticed that 9 of the 14 games have odds of 3 points or less. There are some large discrepancies in some point spreads this week. We’ll get into that a bit later.
On NFL Week 10
Rough Start For Week 10 NFL Picks
If you are not a fan of Thursday Night Football, this week’s matchup will surely not change that sentiment. But hope is on the way for Sunday. The Chicago Bears host the Carolina Panthers from Soldier Field to kickoff Week 10. How will you attack this game with your Week 10 NFL picks?
To start, we have two fewer options for your Week 10 NFL picks. There are four teams on byes, including Kansas City, Los Angeles Rams, Miami, and Philadelphia.
The Colts and Patriots get things started on a busy Sunday with the second of two games in consecutive weeks in Frankfurt, Germany. This matchup doesn’t quite have the luster it did when it was Tom versus Peyton, but it’ll do. New England is currently a 1-point favorite.
San Francisco at Jacksonville is a game that will be on many TVs on Sunday afternoon. Cleveland at Baltimore and the New York Football Giants at Dallas are the only division games on this week’s slate. The Bills host the Broncos on Monday Night Football to close out the week.
Remember, last week we had a loaded Sunday planned; well it’s much the same for our Week 10 NFL picks. There are many variations to what you will watch, but here how Sunday, November 12th, 2023, is looking:
- Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots (-1) (9:30 a.m. ET)
- San Francisco 49ers @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5) (1 p.m. ET)
- Detroit Lions @ Los Angeles Chargers (-1) (4:05 p.m. ET)
- New York Jets @ Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5) (8:20 p.m. ET)
Week 10 NFL Picks: Totals, Moneylines & Point Spreads
We mentioned earlier that 9 of 14 games have a point spread inside 3-points. The remaining 5 games are a totally different story. Those games all have a point spread of 5.5 or more. Be sure check our blog on how to bet on point spreads for more information.
The Cowboys have the longest spread at -10 when they host the Giants. Next are the Bills at -8. Last week we talked about odds comparisons and how important line shopping is. It’s much the same when it comes to Week 10 NFL picks.
You can find spread differences up to 4.5-points at some sportsbooks. Differences like that can increase your winning percentage and put money directly into your pocket. Especially over the long run. Week 10 NFL picks can change when you get the number you want.
Week 10 NFL picks and odds will be varied. Here are some point spreads to consider:
- Browns @ Ravens (-5.5)
- 49ers @ Jaguars (+2.5)
- Commanders @ Seahawks (-6.5)
- Giants @ Cowboys (-10)
- Jets (-2.5) @ Raiders
Best Pick ATS
There are a number of great Week 10 NFL picks to make, but trying to bet against the spread is always going to be a great option to explore. The Houston Texans visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, and you have to be going with the home team in this game.
Houston picked up a stunning win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 9, and they have been much better than advertised this season. While that might be true, Joe Burrow and the Bengals are back, and they are going to win this game by more than seven points.
Best Moneyline Pick
The Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots meet in Frankfurt, Germany this weekend as the international series continues. Indianapolis is a slim two-point betting favorite in this game, and they have also had a better season than New England.
This is when Bill Belichick shines the brightest though as he will use his great coaching skills to get past the Colts on Sunday. This is going to be a tight battle throughout, but you simply have to back the Patriots and take them at +125 on the moneyline.
Best Total Pick
The Green Bay Packers visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, and the home team is a slim-three point betting favorite in this game. While that might not be a bad betting option, it’s better to look at the point total in this matchup.
These are two low scoring teams, both teams have also been able to play pretty well on defense. Even though the over/under line is pretty low at just 37.5 total points, going with the under is clearly the best wager to make.
Best Player Prop
The Detroit Lions visit the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday in a battle of two teams that have been playing well. The Lions are surprise two-point betting favorites on the road in this game, but this is a game that should have a ton of points.
If you want to bet on player props, then trying to find an Anytime Touchdown Scorer is never a bad idea. Go with Austin Ekeler to find the end zone in this game as that is something that he always seems to do.
Best Team Prop
The New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys meet up in a big NFC East matchup, but this has the biggest spread of the weekend. It’s been a disaster of a season for the Giants, and you can’t expect them to keep this game close at all.
Dallas is going to have a massive game in this game as the Cowboys shouldn’t have any trouble creating some separation. The Cowboys can light up the scoreboard on both offense and defense, and they will score at least five touchdowns on Sunday.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals
It does feel hard to find some upsets when looking at Week 10 NFL picks, but you can find one in the desert this weekend. The Arizona Cardinals are hosting the Atlanta Falcons, and the visitors have a massive issue at the quarterback position.
Arizona has only won one game all season long, but there is a chance that Kyler Murray is going to make his return to the league in this game. Expect a great matchup between the Falcons and Cardinals, but the home team will win number two.
Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
A pair of 3-5 teams will meet up in Tampa on Sunday as the Buccaneers are going to host the Tennessee Titans. Each team has something that they do pretty well, but they also have som serious flaws.
Tennessee wants to run the football, and they want to give Derrick Henry a chance to find the end zone. That is going to happen on Sunday as Henry will score a TD to give the Titans a good chance to pick up a road win.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
Two of the top teams in the AFC North will battle in Baltimore as the Ravens are going to host the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland simply has to win this game to stay in the race, but they aren’t going to get this done either.
The Baltimore Ravens are six-point favorites at home in this game for a reason, and Lamar Jackson is playing like an MVP. Cleveland has been pretty good on defense this season, but the Ravens are winning this game by a touchdown at least.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The San Francisco 49ers looked like the best team in the NFL through five weeks, but they have hit rock bottom since. San Francisco will now be heading to Jacksonville to face a Jaguars team that is sitting at 6-2.
The 49ers are still the betting favorites in this game, but Jacksonville has been lighting it up on offense this season. This is a great chance to make Week 10 NFL picks and get some value as the Jaguars are going to pull off the upset at home.
Washington Commanders vs. Seattle Seahawks
The Washington Commanders are visiting the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday and both teams are looking for some consistency. Washington just picked up a win over the New England Patriots, but they have gone just 4-5 to begin the year.
Seattle just suffered a 37-3 loss to the Baltimore Ravens in their most recent game, but that game was on the road. The Seahawks are going to bounce back in a big way in this game, and they will also cover the small spread with a double-digit win.
Every Game Is Important For Week 10 NFL Picks
The NFL is different from most leagues as every game carries so much weight. When a team is behind by 2 or 3 games in Week 10, games become VERY important.
Teams cannot lose more ground on a team they’re looking up at. Coaches and front-office staff tend to get desperate this time of the year. This can result in lopsided results. Figuring out where those spots are will be the difference between you winning and losing.
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Week 10 NFL Picks FAQ
Which teams are on a bye in Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season?
There are four teams on a bye who you cannot wager on for your Week 10 NFL picks. Those teams include the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles.
How many NFL games are there in Week 10 in 2023??
There are 14 games in the NFL during Week 10 to choose from for your Week 10 NFL picks. One game on Thursday and Monday nights, with the remaining 12 kicking off on Sunday. The Sunday schedule gets started early with a game coming from Germany.
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