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Analysis
Winnipeg Jets vs New Jersey Devils Prediction, Picks & Odds (Nov. 10, 2026)
By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker
The 20-second version
- Pick: Devils moneyline at -147. Our model makes New Jersey around a 72% winner vs. a 59.5% break-even.
- Hellebuyck sits in his return to Winnipeg; Jake Allen (.881) starts for New Jersey.
- New Jersey outshoots opponents 33.7 to 24.8 per game; Winnipeg is outshot 27.6 to 28.6.
- Goal differential: Devils +15, Jets -14 through 18 games each.
The New Jersey Devils (13-5-0) close a three-game road trip against the Winnipeg Jets (7-8-3) on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET at Canada Life Centre (TSN3, MSGSN, ESPN+). New Jersey is -147 to -159 on the moneyline, with the total at 6 to 6.5. The subplot writes itself: Connor Hellebuyck's first trip back to Winnipeg since the Oct. 23 trade, and he won't play. Jake Allen gets the net. Pick: Devils moneyline (-147).
How these teams got here
New Jersey is the hottest team on the board. The Devils have won five straight and nine of their last 10 (9-1-0), and they swept a weekend back-to-back: a 5-4 overtime win at the Islanders on Saturday, when they erased a two-goal third-period deficit, and a 4-0 shutout at Toronto on Sunday. Timo Meier scored twice in that one and Nico Hischier added a power-play goal.
The underlying numbers back the record. New Jersey has scored 66 goals and allowed 51 (+15) through 18 games, and it is 5-3-0 on the road.
Winnipeg is on a modest run of its own. The Jets have won three in a row after going nine straight games without a win. The streak started with a wild 5-4 overtime win in Montreal on Nov. 3, when they scored four goals in 2:06 after trailing 4-0 with under three minutes left. They followed it with a 6-2 rout of Vancouver and a 4-3 win over Tampa Bay that Mark Scheifele settled on a 5-on-3 power play with 1.6 seconds left. Even so, the Jets have been outscored 63-49 (-14), they are 3-6-1 in their last 10 and 4-4-1 at home. Both teams last played Sunday, so neither side has a rest edge.
Devils shot volume vs. a Jets defense that bleeds chances
This matchup is mostly about territory. New Jersey averages 33.7 shots per game and allows just 24.8. Winnipeg generates 27.6 and gives up 28.6. That's a gap of roughly nine shots a night, before you count talent.
Jack Hughes drives it. He leads the Devils with 25 points (9 goals, 16 assists), has multiple points in five straight games (11 points in that stretch) and was named the NHL's Second Star of the Week on Monday. Jesper Bratt has 18 points, and Hischier leads the team with five power-play goals.
Winnipeg's offense runs through Kyle Connor (13 goals, 19 points, six on the power play), Scheifele (18 points) and Cole Perfetti (14). Special teams are the Jets' best path. Their power play converts 21.8% to New Jersey's 19.3%, and the Devils' penalty kill has been shaky at 67.6%. Winnipeg's kill isn't much better at 71.7%, so a game decided on the man advantage cuts both ways.
The crease: Hellebuyck sits, Allen starts
The Devils acquired Hellebuyck from Winnipeg on Oct. 23, sending Dawson Mercer, Nick Bjugstad, Alexander Command, goaltender Nico Daws and two draft picks the other way. He has been perfect in New Jersey (5-0, 1.96 GAA, .913 save percentage), capped by Sunday's 23-save shutout in Toronto. But the team chose to sit him in his return, and it confirmed Jake Allen as the starter.
That is the biggest knock on the Devils tonight. Allen is 6-3-0 with a 3.20 GAA and .881 save percentage, and the Devils' own notes put his career line against Winnipeg at 9-11-3 with a 3.18 GAA and .884. Daily Faceoff projects Stuart Skinner for the Jets, but that hasn't been confirmed. Skinner is 6-4-3 with a 3.26 GAA and .883, so neither crease is an edge. Mercer has four points in eight games since the trade.
Injuries that matter
New Jersey is without Anthony Mantha (throat), who has 5 goals and 10 points in 17 games and went back to New Jersey for evaluation. The Devils recalled Riley Tufte from Utica. Defenseman Seamus Casey (knee) remains out.
Winnipeg's absences run deeper on the blue line. Josh Morrissey (wrist) is still on injured reserve after missing 14 straight games, though he's reported close to a return. Vladislav Namestnikov and Bjugstad are also on IR, and Elias Salomonsson is away for personal reasons.
How the line has moved
New Jersey opened around -142 and has firmed to the -147 to -159 range. The bigger move is the total: it opened at 5.5 and now sits at 6 or 6.5 depending on the book. With two goalies under .885 starting, that move is easy to understand.
Prediction: Devils moneyline (-147)
Our model makes New Jersey around a 72% winner, well above the roughly 59.5% break-even at -147. The case:
- Goal differential: +15 for New Jersey against -14 for Winnipeg through the same 18 games.
- Shot share: the Devils outshoot opponents by about nine a night (33.7 to 24.8). The Jets get outshot (27.6 to 28.6).
- Form: 9-1-0 over the last 10 for New Jersey against 3-6-1 for Winnipeg.
- The goalie gap is a wash: Allen (.881) and Skinner (.883) have been about equal, and that takes away the one place Winnipeg could hope to steal the game.
Risk: Allen's history against this team and the Devils' 67.6% penalty kill. If the Jets' power play gets three or four looks, this can turn into a coin flip.
Total: two leaky penalty kills and two sub-.885 goalies point toward goals, but the market has already moved a full goal. We'll pass on the total.
