Puck drop 7:00 PM ETWed, Nov 25 · 7:00 PM ET

Flyers vs CapitalsPrediction, Picks & Odds

Flyers

5-10
vs

Capitals

10-7

21+ · Bet responsibly

The SportsHub verdict

Our model leans Capitals

The model gives the Capitals a 77% chance to win.

Flyers 23%77% Capitals
Fair line
Capitals -335

Every pick timestamped before the game and graded in public

Our prediction

Free, every game: the model's numbers, checked against the market.

77%Capitals win

Model lean · High confidence

Our model leans Capitals

The model gives the Capitals a 77% chance to win.

Model fair line
Capitals -335

Key factors

  • Season StatsEdge CapitalsCapitals has a better goal differential and special teams
  • Season RecordEdge CapitalsCapitals is 10-7 this season
  • Standings PositionEdge CapitalsCapitals ranked #18 in standings
  • Head-to-HeadEdge CapitalsCapitals leads the recent series 6-2

Previous meeting · Recap

Flyers vs Capitals Recap: Final Score & Pick Result (Oct 28, 2026)

By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker

Final · · Recap updated

Capitals 5, Flyers 2 final score and pick result recap card for Oct 28, 2026

Final: October 28, 2026 | Recap updated: October 28, 2026, 11:40 PM ET

Jordan Kyrou scored twice and Dylan Strome had three assists as the Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2 on Wednesday at Capital One Arena. Kyrou's power-play goal and Aliaksei Protas's late second-period strike built a 3-1 lead the Flyers never erased. Our pick, Capitals moneyline (-233), won. Washington moved to 7-4-0, while Philadelphia fell to 3-8-4.

Flyers vs Capitals Final Score

Goals by period
Team1st2nd3rdFinal
Flyers0112
Capitals1225

Decided in regulation. Shots on goal: Washington 30, Philadelphia 25. Puck drop was 7:30 PM ET.

How It Happened

Alex Tuch opened the scoring 1:50 into the game, finishing a play started by Strome and Jack St. Ivany, and Washington took the 1-0 lead to the first intermission.

Sean Couturier tied it at 4:36 of the second with his first goal of the season, set up by Nick Seeler. The tie lasted 2:38. Philadelphia was called for slashing at 7:03, and Kyrou scored on the power play at 7:14 from Strome and Jakob Chychrun. Protas made it 3-1 at 16:47, from Matt Roy and Pierre-Luc Dubois.

The Flyers got one back on their own power play: Matvei Michkov scored his ninth goal at 9:44 of the third, eight seconds after a Washington roughing penalty, with Denver Barkey and Trevor Zegras assisting. Kyrou answered at 12:51, again from Strome and St. Ivany, to restore the two-goal lead, and Tuch added an empty-net goal at 17:36.

Logan Thompson, back from injured reserve, started for Washington and stopped 23 of 25 shots. Joseph Woll made 25 saves on 29 shots for Philadelphia.

Top Performers

PlayerTeamLine
Jordan KyrouWSH2 G (1 power play), 3 shots
Dylan StromeWSH3 A
Alex TuchWSH2 G (1 empty net), 5 shots, +3
Logan ThompsonWSH23 saves on 25 shots (.920)
Matvei MichkovPHI1 power-play goal, his 9th of the season

Our Pick: Won

Our pick was the Capitals moneyline at -233. Washington won 5-2, so the pick won: +$42.92 per $100 staked (100 × 100 / 233).

Most of the case held up:

  • The model. It had Washington at 79%. The Capitals led for all but 2:38 after the opening goal and won by three.
  • The scoring gap. Philadelphia came in at 1.93 goals per game, last in the NHL, and scored two, one of them on the power play. Washington had four before the empty-netter.
  • Venue. Washington is now 6-2-0 at home; Philadelphia is 1-5-1 on the road.
  • Schedule. The Flyers lost both ends of their back-to-back, 4-3 in overtime to Columbus on Tuesday and 5-2 here.
  • Shot volume. Only partly right. The Flyers had 25 shots, above their 23.3 average, and won the faceoff battle 30-22, but Washington still outshot them 30-25.
  • The risk we named. The crease never became a problem: Thompson came off injured reserve and posted a .920 save percentage.

We chose the moneyline over the -1.5 puck line (+105 to +110 in the preview). The puck line covered too, and would have paid more.

Lean (total): the preview said the numbers pointed under 6.5 without making it a play. The game finished with 7 goals, so that lean lost, on Tuch's empty-netter with 2:24 left.

Betting Results

  • Moneyline: Washington won as a home favorite, priced at -227 to -233 in the preview. The last licensed price we recorded before puck drop, about 20 minutes out, had Washington at -244, so the -233 we published was a little cheaper than that late number.
  • Puck line: Washington -1.5 covered. It led 4-2 before the empty-netter. Philadelphia +1.5 did not.
  • Total: 7 goals, over the 6 to 6.5 range.

SportsHub Handicappers: Oct 21–27

The NHL's top three for the seven days before this game:

HandicapperRecordNet ($)ROI
Brandon Hayes3-0+$365114.8%
Sports Central7-5+$31319.6%
Randall Dickelman6-3+$30529.3%

See every record on the SportsHub handicappers leaderboard.

What's Next

  • Capitals: at the Nashville Predators on Thursday, Oct. 29, at 8:00 PM ET (Monumental Sports Network), then home against the Minnesota Wild on Sunday, Nov. 1, at 3:30 PM ET.
  • Flyers: home against the Utah Mammoth on Sunday, Nov. 1, at 4:00 PM ET (NBC Sports Philadelphia).
  • Rematch: the Flyers visit Washington again on Wednesday, Nov. 25, at 7:00 PM ET.

More: NHL picks, the NHL hub, the handicappers leaderboard and our weekly picks results.

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Pregame preview

Flyers vs Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct. 28, 2026)

By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker

The 20-second version

  • Pick: Capitals moneyline at -233. Our model gives Washington 79%, against roughly 67% implied by the moneyline once the vig is removed.
  • Philadelphia scores 1.93 goals per game, last in the NHL, and averages 23.3 shots, 30th.
  • The Flyers are on the second night of a back-to-back after Tuesday's 4-3 OT loss to Columbus; Washington hasn't played since Saturday.
  • Watch the crease: Logan Thompson (2.90 GAA, .901) practiced fully Tuesday but is still on IR; Charlie Lindgren (.886) is the fallback.

The Philadelphia Flyers (3-7-4) visit the Washington Capitals (6-4-0) on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Capital One Arena, live on TNT, truTV and HBO Max. Washington is -227 to -233 on the moneyline, with the total at 6 to 6.5. The hook: the NHL's lowest-scoring team is on the second night of a back-to-back against a home side that hasn't played since Saturday. Our pick: Capitals moneyline (-233).

How these teams got here

Philadelphia's season has been one long search for goals. The Flyers have 27 in 14 games, a league-worst 1.93 per game, and they're 30th in shots at 23.3 a night. All three of their wins came in one five-day run (Oct. 17-21, over Ottawa, Colorado and Buffalo). Since then they've lost 5-4 to Anaheim and 4-3 in overtime to Columbus on Tuesday, a game in which they trailed 3-0 after one period.

That Tuesday game matters. Philadelphia played at home last night and is in Washington 24 hours later, its only road game in a five-game stretch. The Flyers are 1-4-1 on the road.

Washington is 6-4-0 with a +2 goal differential, scoring 3.4 goals per game (11th). The Capitals are 5-2-0 at home, and their last game was Saturday's 4-3 overtime win over Buffalo, where Dylan Strome scored twice and Alex Tuch won it. They've played only 10 games, tied with Columbus for the fewest in the league, and just one in the past seven days. One caveat: Washington visits Nashville on Thursday, so this is the front end of a back-to-back for the Caps.

Can the Flyers find a second goal?

Washington's top six carries the scoring. Tuch leads the team with 7 goals (9 points), Strome has 9 points and Jordan Kyrou has 8. Ryan Leonard adds 4 goals, and defenseman Jakob Chychrun (7 points) is expected to play after a maintenance day Monday, per the team site.

Philadelphia's attack runs through two players. Trevor Zegras leads the club with 12 points, and Matvei Michkov has 8 goals, half of them on the power play. Behind them, nobody on the roster has more than 6 points.

Special teams don't bail either side out. The Flyers' power play is 25th at 15.6%, Washington's is 23rd at 17.9%. Philadelphia's penalty kill (83.0%, 12th) is slightly better than Washington's (81.2%, 15th).

In goal, the Flyers are expected to turn to Joseph Woll (2.99 GAA, .904) after Dan Vladar started Tuesday. Washington's crease is the swing. Logan Thompson (2.90, .901) missed Saturday with a lower-body injury, is still on injured reserve and practiced fully Tuesday. If he can't go, Charlie Lindgren (2.98, .886) starts again. Neither starter was confirmed as of Wednesday morning.

Who's missing

The Flyers are thin on the wings. Travis Konecny and Owen Tippett are both on injured reserve, and defenseman Rasmus Ristolainen joined them this week with a hand injury. For a team already starved for goals, losing two veteran wingers strips depth it doesn't have.

Washington is without defensemen Rasmus Sandin (knee) and Vincent Desharnais (abdomen). That thins the blue line, but the Caps have held up at home. The only status that could move the price is Thompson's.

Prediction: Capitals moneyline (-233)

Our pick is the Capitals moneyline at -233. Our model gives Washington 79%, while the moneyline range implies about 67% once the vig is removed. That gap is worth laying the price:

  1. Scoring gap. Washington scores 3.4 goals a game; Philadelphia scores 1.93, last in the league.
  2. Schedule. The Flyers play the second night of a back-to-back on the road; the Caps have had three days off.
  3. Venue. Washington is 5-2-0 at home; Philadelphia is 1-4-1 away.
  4. Shot volume. The Flyers average 23.3 shots (30th) and allow 30.3 (27th).

The risk is in the crease. If Thompson sits and Lindgren's .886 save percentage shows up, a one-goal game is in play, which is why we prefer the moneyline to the -1.5 puck line (+105 to +110).

On the total, the market already lines up low: the under 6.5 is priced from -125 to -132. With Philadelphia's offense where it is, the numbers point under, but it's not a play.

Tale of the tape

Season to date. The better side of each stat is highlighted; league rank in brackets.

FlyersCapitals
  • 2.2 Goals / game 3.4
  • 3.3 Goals against / game 3.4

Flyers vs Capitals FAQ

Who won Flyers vs Capitals on Oct. 28, 2026?

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2 at Capital One Arena. Jordan Kyrou scored twice and Dylan Strome had three assists, and Washington led for all but 2:38 after the opening goal.

What was the final score of Flyers vs Capitals?

Capitals 5, Flyers 2, in regulation. Alex Tuch, Jordan Kyrou (2), Aliaksei Protas and Tuch again (empty net) scored for Washington; Sean Couturier and Matvei Michkov scored for Philadelphia.

Did the Capitals moneyline pick win?

Yes. SportsHub's pick, the Capitals moneyline at -233, won, returning $42.92 per $100 staked.

Who was the top performer in Flyers vs Capitals?

Jordan Kyrou scored twice for Washington, one on the power play, and Dylan Strome had three assists. Logan Thompson, back from injured reserve, made 23 saves on 25 shots.

When do the Flyers and Capitals play next?

The Capitals visit the Nashville Predators on Thursday, Oct. 29, at 8:00 PM ET. The Flyers host the Utah Mammoth on Sunday, Nov. 1, at 4:00 PM ET. The teams meet again in Washington on Wednesday, Nov. 25, at 7:00 PM ET.

When is Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals?

Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals is scheduled for Wed, Nov 25 at 7:00 PM ET.

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