Analysis
Rangers vs Canucks Prediction, Picks & Odds (Nov 13, 2026)
By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker
The 20-second version
- Pick: Rangers moneyline at -217. The model makes New York a bigger favorite than the roughly 68.5% the price implies.
- Vancouver kills just 63.1% of penalties; the Rangers kill 88.3%.
- The Canucks are 3-16-1, 1-9 in their last 10 and 1-8 at home, with a -34 goal differential.
- Korpisalo (2-0, .931) is the projected New York starter but is unconfirmed; Shesterkin is out for the season.
The New York Rangers (11-8-1) play the fourth game of a Western road trip at Rogers Arena on Friday, Nov. 13 at 9:00 PM ET (Sportsnet, MSGSN, ESPN+) against a Vancouver Canucks team that is 3-16-1 and has lost six straight. New York is -217 to -227 on the moneyline with the total at 6.5. The hook: the Rangers are only 3-6-1 on the road, but Vancouver has won once in nine home games. Our pick: Rangers moneyline (-217).
How these teams got here
The Rangers are a sub-.500 road team propped up by an 8-2 record at Madison Square Garden. This trip has been uneven but useful: a 4-3 win in Seattle on Nov. 7, a 3-1 loss in Edmonton on Nov. 9, then a 3-1 win in Calgary on Wednesday. They have had Thursday off, so there is no back-to-back here. New York has scored 59 goals and allowed 56 through 20 games, and it is 5-5 over its last 10.
Vancouver is in free fall. The Canucks are 1-9 in their last 10, last in the league with 7 points, and their last win came on Oct. 27 in Anaheim. They have been outscored 90-56, which works out to 4.5 goals allowed per game against 2.8 scored. Monday's 3-1 home loss to Philadelphia was their sixth straight defeat, and they have been off since, so both teams arrive rested.
These teams met on Oct. 11 at MSG, and the Rangers won 6-2.
The special-teams gap and the crease
This game tilts hardest on the penalty kill. Vancouver kills just 63.1% of its penalties; the Rangers kill 88.3%. The power plays are close (New York 19.6%, Vancouver 20.6%), so every Canucks minor is far more dangerous than every Rangers minor. Elias Pettersson (4 goals, 16 assists) and Brock Boeser (7 goals) drive what offense Vancouver has, but the Canucks average only 21.8 shots per game while allowing 30.5.
New York's attack runs through Adam Fox (22 points, 20 assists), Alexis Lafrenière (9 goals, 20 points) and Mika Zibanejad (18 points). Former Canuck J.T. Miller adds 14 points.
In goal, Daily Faceoff projects Joonas Korpisalo (unconfirmed) for New York. He is 2-0 with a .931 save percentage and 2.01 GAA in two starts, including 29 saves at Calgary. Dylan Garand (6-7-1, .905, 2.48) is the other option. Vancouver's projected starter is Leevi Meriläinen (2-8-1, .889, 3.41); Kevin Lankinen has an .808 save percentage in nine appearances.
Who's missing
The biggest absence belongs to New York: Igor Shesterkin is out for the season after a knee injury that requires surgery, which is why Korpisalo and Garand are splitting the net. The Rangers are also without defensemen Sean Durzi and Alberts Smits (both on injured reserve), which thins out a blue line that has to handle Pettersson's line.
Vancouver is missing its No. 1 goalie, Thatcher Demko (hip, injured reserve, with the club hoping for a return before Christmas), plus center Filip Chytil (shoulder, injured reserve). Rookie defenseman Tom Willander is day-to-day with a lower-body injury. Without Demko, the Canucks have had no goaltending to cover for a team that gives up 30-plus shots a night.
How the line has moved
The Rangers opened near -185 and now sit at -217 to -227 across licensed books, with Vancouver drifting from about +154 to +180 to +185. That is a big move for an NHL moneyline, so shop for the shortest price on New York.
Prediction: Rangers moneyline (-217)
Rangers moneyline (-217). The SportsHub model makes New York a clear favorite, above the roughly 68.5% break-even at -217. The reasons:
- Penalty kill: 88.3% for New York vs 63.1% for Vancouver, a 25-point gap.
- Goal differential: Rangers +3, Canucks -34 in the same 20 games.
- Form: Vancouver is 1-9 in its last 10 and 1-8 at home.
- Shot share: New York sits close to even (25.8 for, 26.4 against); Vancouver gets outshot by nearly nine a night (21.8 for, 30.5 against).
- Head-to-head: the Rangers won the first meeting 6-2.
The risk: New York's own road record (3-6-1) and an unconfirmed starter. If Garand starts instead of Korpisalo, the case barely changes, but every extra cent you lay on the moneyline eats into the cushion.
The total: 6.5. Vancouver's games average 7.3 goals and New York's 5.8, which leaves no clear side on the total.
