Analysis
Devils vs Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds (Nov. 3, 2026)
By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker
The 20-second version
- No edge: our model gives Edmonton 59%, but at low confidence, so we don't headline the Oilers at +125 to +132 against a Devils team favored at home.
- Edmonton's power play converts 32.7% (3rd); New Jersey kills only 70.0% of penalties (26th).
- New Jersey outshoots opponents 32.6 to 24.8 per game, while Edmonton scores 4.20 goals a night on just 25.9 shots.
- Edmonton is 7-0-0 on the road; New Jersey is 6-2-0 at home and hasn't played since Friday.
The Edmonton Oilers (11-2-2) bring a perfect 7-0-0 road record into Prudential Center on Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+, Hulu, Disney+), and they are still the underdog. The New Jersey Devils (9-5-0) sit at -149 to -156 on the moneyline, Edmonton +125 to +132, with the total at 6 to 6.5. The hook: Edmonton's 32.7% power play against a Devils kill that ranks 26th. SportsHub's call: no edge.
How these teams got here
Edmonton is rolling. The Oilers have won three straight by a combined 12-1: 4-0 over Calgary on Oct. 28, 4-0 at the Islanders on Oct. 31 and 4-1 at the Rangers on Sunday. That run came right after a 7-2 home loss to Toronto and a shootout loss to Detroit, but the road record is spotless and the 24 points lead the Pacific.
New Jersey is 7-3 in its last 10 and 6-2-0 at home. The Devils beat Colorado, Anaheim and Los Angeles at home from Oct. 20 to 24, then went 2-1 on a three-game western trip: 5-1 at Dallas, 2-5 at Colorado, 5-2 at Vegas. They haven't played since Friday, so they come in on four days of rest. Edmonton played Sunday night in New York and had Monday off.
Edmonton's power play vs. New Jersey's kill
This is the matchup that decides the night. Connor McDavid has 39 points (9 goals, 30 assists) in 15 games, Leon Draisaitl has 12 goals with six on the power play, and Evan Bouchard has 26 points from the blue line. That unit converts 32.7% of its chances, third in the league. New Jersey kills just 70.0%, 26th.
At five-on-five, the Devils own the puck. They average 32.6 shots per game (2nd) and allow 24.8 (6th). Edmonton averages only 25.9 shots (22nd), yet scores 4.20 goals per game (2nd). That gap between volume and finish is the Devils' best argument: the Oilers are converting at a rate that is hard to hold. Jack Hughes (16 points), Jesper Bratt (12) and Arseny Gritsyuk (8 goals) lead New Jersey, and Nico Hischier has four of his seven goals on the power play, though the Devils' power play sits 24th at 16.7%.
In goal, Daily Faceoff lists Connor Hellebuyck and Tristan Jarry as projected, both unconfirmed. Hellebuyck, acquired in an October trade, is 2-0 with a 1.50 GAA and .923 save percentage in two Devils starts. Jarry is 4-1-2 with a 2.53 GAA and a .901 save percentage, and his two shutouts came in his last two starts.
Who's missing
Edmonton is thin. Zach Hyman has been on injured reserve since Oct. 28 with a neck injury, and goalies Devon Levi (6-1 in seven starts) and Frederik Andersen are both on IR, which leaves Jarry and Matt Tomkins as the tandem. Matt Savoie, Alec Regula and Mattias Janmark are also out, and Isaac Howard is day-to-day with a knee issue.
New Jersey's questions are up front. Evan Rodrigues (illness) is day-to-day and was called questionable by the team. Anthony Mantha (undisclosed) is day-to-day after he didn't finish Friday's game in Vegas. Seamus Casey (knee) is out. If both forwards sit, the Devils lose depth scoring on a night they need to win the five-on-five minutes.
Prediction: No edge
Our model makes Edmonton a 59% winner, well above the roughly 43–44% the Oilers' moneyline implies, but it carries low confidence, so we don't headline it. The data cuts both ways:
- Special teams favor Edmonton: a 32.7% power play against a 70.0% kill is the widest mismatch on the ice.
- Shot share favors New Jersey: 32.6 shots for and 24.8 against per game, against Edmonton's 25.9 shots for.
- Rest favors New Jersey: four days off against Edmonton's one.
- Form favors Edmonton: 7-0-0 on the road and 12-1 over the last three games.
The swing factor is discipline. If the Devils stay out of the box, their shot volume and Hellebuyck can carry the night; if they give McDavid's unit four or five chances, the Oilers' price looks too long.
On the total, 6.5 is priced toward the under at most books (-125 to -139), with 6 available elsewhere. The power-play mismatch pushes up and two hot goalies push down, so we pass there too.
