2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open Predictions & Preview


TPC Scottsdale is the host venue this week as we take a look at 2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open predictions! 

We had a number of the world’s top golfers in action last week at the signature event AT&T Pebble Beach. This time, the top drama resumes at the Phoenix Open. Players such as Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas and Max Homa currently head the market. 

Justin Thomas – Phoenix Open Predictions

You can find all of the key information, statistics and data before making your Phoenix Open predictions below. It’s set to be an enjoyable week of golf in Arizona, and we can’t wait to share our preview with you!

2024 PGA AT&T Pebble Beach Results

Priced at +8000 prior to the start of the tournament, Wyndham Clark secured his third-ever win on the PGA Tour last weekend after winning at Pebble Beach. The US golfer shot a stunning 12-under in the final round to wrap up the title, winning by a narrow one-stroke margin over Ludvig Aberg. 

Outside winners have been the key theme of the 2024 PGA Tour season so far. We are yet to see a favorite win any of the five opening events. 

My closest selection at Pebble Beach last week saw Justin Rose finish T11. I backed the Englishman to finish inside the top 10, so I was close to finding a winner. I also had Patrick Cantlay to win the tournament outright, but he also finished T11. I seem to be getting closer to winning one of my golf picks, and I know it won’t be long before I identify one. 

Let’s hope my Phoenix Open predictions are able to buck the trends of the 2024 season so far. Head over to my handicapper page, Ashlee Kiddell, in order to gain access to all of my wagers this week. 

2024 WM Phoenix Open Preview

When: Thursday, February 8th – Sunday, February 11th, 2024

Where: TPC Scottsdale, Scottsdale, Arizona

TV: Golf Channel / NBC / Peacock / ESPN+

Field: 144 Golfers

Purse: $​​8,800,000 (Winner gets $1,584,000)

Founded in 1932, the inaugural champion at TPC Scottsdale was Ralph Guldahl. He beat John Perelli by just one stroke in order to claim the crown. Back then, the tournament was known as the Arizona Open. 

The Waste Management (WM) Phoenix Open has been given that name since 2010, when Hunter Mahan won the event by beating Rickie Fowler by just one shot. 

We have seen six consecutive champions come from the US, with the last non-US winner being Hideki Matsuyama in 2017. He won the tournament in 2016 as well. 

TPC Scottsdale Course Information

TPC Scottsdale

Par: 71 / Yards: 7,261

Greens: Bermudagrass

The expectation is that we could have a lively crowd in attendance at TPC Scottsdale, like it has done in the past for the Phoenix Open. 

Driving distance and accuracy seem to be significant metrics to consider before making Phoenix Open predictions. It is a course that has helped golfers out in the past with strong skills with the driver. 

That’s why Scheffler has won this tournament on back-to-back occasions. He led the whole of the PGA Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee for the 2022/23 season. 

Expert PGA WM Phoenix Open Predictions for 2024

World No.1 ranked golfer Scheffler (+450) is, unsurprisingly, the market leader heading into the tournament. He’s searching to win this event for a third successive time, too, winning both the 2022 and 2023 editions. It’s been a pretty steady opening to the 2024 PGA Tour for the 27-year-old. He finished T5 at the Sentry, T17 at the AmEx and T6 at Pebble Beach. 

Min Woo Lee (+3000) could be showing some promising value for Phoenix Open predictions. He ranks 15th in SG: Off-the-Tee this season and ranks 10th in terms of driving distance. He finished T21 at the AmEx to end January, but only finished T43 at the Farmers Insurance Open. He’s yet to win on the PGA Tour, but a T5 finish at the 2023 U.S. Open proves he can compete amongst some of the heavyweights. 

Kevin Yu (+6000) has been going about his business fairly quietly to start the 2024 PGA Tour. He failed to make the cut at the Sony Open, but bounced back with T3 and T6 finishes at the AmEx and the Farmers Insurance Open. He only finished T58 at Pebble Beach last week, but it’s hard to ignore his impressive SG: Off-the-Tee ranking of 6th this year and last year. 

Top Contenders to Win the 2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open

Having started to rediscover his best form towards the end of the 2022/23 PGA Tour, Thomas (+850) is the second favorite to win the Phoenix Open. The two-time major champion finished 3rd at the Hero World Challenge last December, before securing T3 and T6 finishes at the American Express and at Pebble Beach last weekend. 

With performances off the tee likely to be a good indicator, that also bodes well for Thomas. He leads the PGA Tour in SG: Tee-to-Green, ranks 20th in SG: Off-the-Tee, and is 9th in terms of driving distance so far this season. Let’s not forget he finished fourth in last season’s Phoenix Open as well. 

How about last week’s champion Clark (+2800)? He ranks 10th in SG: Off-the-Tee, and 20th in SG: Tee-to-Green. He’s also ranked 17th for driving distance, and will be full of confidence after his win at Pebble Beach. He wrapped up a T10 finish at the 2023 Phoenix Open. 

Jordan Spieth (+1750) will be very popular amongst Phoenix Open predictions this week. However, he hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since April 2022 at the RBC Heritage, and the three-time major champion disappointed at Pebble Beach, finishing T39. It’s looking like a good idea to fade him here, despite finishing T6 in last year’s edition. 

How will Jordan Spieth fare in Phoenix Open predictions?

Longshots to Win the 2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open

The statistics are indicating that Patton Kizzire (+22500) could be showing some superb longshot value. He sits in third for driving distance, and ranks ninth in terms of SG: Off-the-Tee. He failed to make the cut in his last appearance at the American Express and at the Phoenix Open last year, but did manage to secure a T13 at the Sony Open last month. 

It’s been a promising start to the season for Belgian golfer Thomas Detry (+6500). In spite of the fact that he failed to make the cut at the AmEx, he has since finished T20 and T6 at the Farmers Insurance Open and AT&T Pebble Beach respectively. It’s hard to ignore his recent form, and his rank of 47th in SG: Off-the-Tee is pretty respectable too.  

Our final longshot consideration for Phoenix Open predictions this week comes from Matsuyama (+4500). He’s won this tournament twice in the past (2016 and 2017). He hasn’t won on the tour since January 2022, though. Nevertheless, he has finished T30 and T13 at the Sony Open and the Farmers Insurance Open this season. He’ll be hoping to improve on his T71 display at Pebble Beach. 

2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open Predictions – Outright Winner

Three picks have been locked up for outright Phoenix Open predictions this week. I’ve backed one of the market leaders, and it won’t be long before one of the big names delivers. 

However, I have also selected a couple of longer odds contenders for my Phoenix Open predictions. Longshots have been extremely successful on the PGA Tour so far in 2024 so it would be silly not to ride that trend again. 

Make sure that you take a look at my handicapper page, Ashlee Kiddell, to gain full access to all of my golf picks!


2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open Predictions – Top 10 Finish

I’m staking a lot on JT this week, and it looks almost certain that he can finish inside the top 10 on a course he loves playing on. His price of +125 to do so isn’t showing the best value, but the wager should still land. 

My final top 10 pick is on Yu (+650). He has put in some very encouraging displays to start the new season at both the AmEx and Farmers Insurance Open. His strong skills with the driver means he’s got a good chance at performing strongly here too. 

I came extremely close with my pick for Rose to secure a top-10 finish last week. Let’s hope at least one of these can land this time!

Best Bet: Justin Thomas (+125) & Kevin Yu (+650)

2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open Odds

Here are the odds for the top 30 golfers at the 2024 PGA WM Phoenix Open (subject to change):

  • Scottie Scheffler (+450)
  • Justin Thomas (+850)
  • Max Homa (+1550)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1750)
  • Sam Burns (+1800)
  • Byeong Hun An (+2500)
  • Wyndham Clark (+2800)
  • Sahith Theegala (+2800)
  • Sungjae Im (+3000)
  • Min Woo Lee (+3000)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+3000)
  • J.T. Poston (+3000)
  • Tom Kim (+4000)
  • Cameron Young (+4000)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+4500)
  • Beau Hossler (+4500)
  • Adam Hadwin (+4500)
  • Adam Scott (+5000)
  • Corey Conners (+5000)
  • Eric Cole (+5000)
  • Rickie Fowler (+5000)
  • Si Woo Kim (+5000)
  • Kevin Yu (+6000)
  • Shane Lowry (+6000)
  • Akshay Bhatia (+6000)
  • Thomas Detry (+6500)
  • Brian Harman (+7000)
  • Kurt Kityama (+8000)
  • Alex Noren (+8000)
  • Emiliano Grillo (+8500)