Bruins vs Sharks Prediction, Picks & Odds (Oct 13)
By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker ·
Last updated: October 13, 2026 | Odds checked: October 13, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
The Boston Bruins (4-2-0) visit the San Jose Sharks (3-2-0) on Tuesday at 11:00 PM ET (8:00 PM PT) on ESPN, NESN and SN+. Boston is a short -120 to -127 favorite after back-to-back home routs, while San Jose has won three times in overtime but been outscored 17-13. Our model leans Boston but at low confidence, so no edge here: this one is a breakdown, not a bet.
Bruins vs Sharks Odds
| Market | Bruins | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -120 to -127 | +100 to +105 |
| Puck line | -1.5 (+190 to +205) | +1.5 (-233 to -263) |
| Total | Over 6.5 (+102 to +114) | Under 6.5 (-127 to -135) |
Two books deal 6 instead (over -118, under -102 to -106), and one has moved down from 6.5 since Monday. At -128, Boston's implied win probability is about 56%. Our model has the Bruins at 59%, too thin a gap at low confidence to call a pick.
Bruins: Swayman and a Stingy Defense
Boston allows just 2.17 goals per game and scores 3.33. After a 1-4 loss to Ottawa on Oct. 5, the Bruins beat Utah 6-1 and Philadelphia 5-1 at home. David Pastrnak leads the team with 7 points (2 G, 5 A), followed by Fraser Minten (5) and Mason Lohrei (4).
Projected goalie: Jeremy Swayman (unconfirmed), 4-1-0, 1.79 GAA, .932 SV% with a shutout. Michael DiPietro is the other goalie listed.
Special teams are middling: the power play is 18.8% and the penalty kill 81.0%. McAvoy makes his season debut after serving a six-game suspension, per NHL.com.
Sharks: Living in Overtime
San Jose's three wins all came in OT: 4-3 vs Florida, 5-4 vs Los Angeles and 3-2 at St. Louis. The two losses weren't close: 5-0 at Dallas and 3-1 at home to Edmonton on Saturday. The Sharks average 2.6 goals for and 3.4 against.
Macklin Celebrini has 6 points (1 G, 5 A) in just three games, and Tyler Toffoli has 4. Will Smith and Igor Chernyshov have 2 goals each.
Projected goalie: Yaroslav Askarov (unconfirmed), 2-2-0, 3.70 GAA, .860 SV%. Alex Nedeljkovic is the other goalie listed. The power play is 15.4%, the penalty kill 81.3%. Goodrow skated in the morning after missing Monday's practice with an illness and is expected to play.
Key Matchup: Swayman vs the Sharks Offense
| Stat | Bruins | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for/game | 3.33 | 2.6 |
| Goals against/game | 2.17 | 3.4 |
| Projected goalie SV% | .932 | .860 |
| Power play | 18.8% | 15.4% |
| Shots for/game | 25.5 | 23.4 |
San Jose generates only 23.4 shots per game and has topped three goals only twice in five games, both in overtime. If Swayman starts, that's a tough combination for the Sharks. Neither power play is a weapon, so this likely plays out at even strength.
Injury Report
| Team | Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharks | Adam Gaudette | RW | IR (upper body) |
| Sharks | Quentin Musty | LW | IR (upper body) |
| Sharks | Cam Lund | C | IR (upper body) |
| Sharks | Alex Barre-Boulet | C | IR |
| Sharks | Kyle Keyser | G | IR (upper body) |
The Bruins report no injuries. Their scratches are Jonathan Aspirot, Sean Kuraly and Connor Clifton.
Hottest NHL Handicappers on SportsHub
When the model has no edge, the track record is the next place to look. Our top three NHL handicappers over the last 15 days (Sep 29–Oct 13), by net profit:
| Handicapper | Record | Win % | Net ($) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keylor Santos | 22-8 | 73.3% | +$1,301 | 35.6% |
| Freudy Hockey | 21-8 | 72.4% | +$1,115 | 33.2% |
| Randall Dickelman | 40-31 | 56.3% | +$730 | 8.1% |
Every pick is timestamped and graded in public. See the full board on our handicapper leaderboard.
Bruins vs Sharks Prediction
No edge from our model. It makes Boston a 59% winner, against about 56% implied by the price, at low confidence. That isn't enough to put a number behind.
- Boston's case: a +7 goal differential, 2.17 goals allowed per game and Swayman's .932 SV%.
- San Jose's case: home ice and a 3-0 record in overtime.
- The catch: both starters were unconfirmed Tuesday afternoon, and the Bruins' edge leans heavily on Swayman.
The scoring numbers point lower than a 6.5 total, but with both goalies unconfirmed we're not making that a pick either.
Predicted score: Bruins 3, Sharks 2.
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