SportsHub logo
Final · Nov 7Sat, Nov 7 · 4:10 PM ET

Inter Miami vs Charlotte FCFinal Score & Recap

Inter Miami

16-6-12
3–3

Charlotte FC

15-10-9

21+ · Bet responsibly

How the picks graded

Expert picks
0-1
0% on this game
Our pick
We passed
No bet, so nothing to grade.
Today's MLS picks

Every result above is graded in public: wins and losses

Expert picks for this game

1 verified handicapper picked Inter Miami vs Charlotte FC. Every graded pick is shown with its result. Records are MLS, last 30 days.

  • Sports Hub - FREE PICKS

    8-18 · 30.8%

    -$1,073
    Record
    Win %
    Profit
    MoneylineCHARLOTTE FC +580Lost

Where the experts landed

How many of the 1 handicappers on this game picked each market, and whether the best of them agree.

All experts

1 of 1 picked the moneyline

Top 25% MLS experts

Fewer than 3 top-quartile experts picked this market.

Small samples are noisy: consensus is a signal, not a pick.

Recap · Sat, Nov 7

Inter Miami vs Charlotte Recap: Final Score & Pick Result (MLS Decision Day)

By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker

Final · · Recap updated

Inter Miami 3, Charlotte 3 recap and pick result card, MLS Decision Day, Nov. 7, 2026

Final: November 7, 2026 | Recap updated: November 7, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Charlotte came back from 3-0 down to draw Inter Miami 3-3 at Nu Stadium on MLS Decision Day. Liel Abada scored twice early in the second half, and substitute Rodolfo Aloko volleyed the equalizer in the 90th minute. We had no edge; our model favored Miami (78%), and the match ended level. Miami still finished second in the East; Charlotte finished fifth.

Inter Miami vs Charlotte Final Score

Team1H2HFinal
Inter Miami303
Charlotte033

How It Happened

Miami needed a win at the 4:00 PM ET kickoff to lock up second place on its own, and it looked settled by halftime. In the 14th minute, off a corner, right back Ian Fray finished from the center of the box. Miami then lost left back Sergio Reguilón to an injury, with Gonzalo Luján on in the 24th.

Another corner made it 2-0 in the 33rd, when Germán Berterame set up Luis Suárez from close range. In the 42nd, Rodrigo De Paul hit a shot from outside the box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Telasco Segovia, and Miami went in 3-0 up.

Charlotte sent on Tyger Smalls for top scorer Idan Toklomati at halftime, and the match turned. Five minutes in, Smalls set up Abada from close range. In the 55th, Abada scored again from outside the box, assisted by Pep Biel. Miami also lost David Ayala to an injury in the 50th.

Charlotte's triple change in the 69th brought on Aloko, and in the 90th minute he volleyed in from the center of the box with his right foot. Miami had 59.8% of the ball and 15 shots to 11, but each side put five on target.

Top Performers

PlayerTeamLine
Liel AbadaCharlotte2 goals (50', 55')
Rodolfo AlokoCharlotteGoal off the bench (90')
Rodrigo De PaulInter MiamiGoal (42')
Luis SuárezInter MiamiGoal (33')
Kristijan KahlinaCharlotte2 saves, 3 goals allowed (all before halftime)

Model Check

There was no pick to grade: our preview called this no edge, so the return is $0. The model favored Miami at 78% and gave the draw only 5%. The match ended level, so the model's favorite did not win.

What held up and what didn't:

  • The draw price. Held. The preview's main objection was the model's 5% draw against a market near 18%, with Miami at 8 draws in 16 home games. It is now 9 in 17 (6-9-2 at home).
  • Miami's firepower. Held for a half. Miami scored three before the break, without a goal or an assist from Lionel Messi.
  • Miami's goals against. Held. Miami came in having allowed 56, eight more than Charlotte, and gave up three after halftime.
  • Charlotte's absences. Didn't hold. Without Allan Saint-Maximin (suspended) and Tim Ream, Charlotte still scored three.
  • The swing factor in Orlando. Held. New England lost 1-0 at Orlando, so even the draw kept Miami second.

Total: the preview passed on 3.5 with the over at -165 to -175. Six goals went in, so the over would have won.

Betting Results

  • Moneyline (90 minutes): the draw won, at +425 to +450. Miami (-250 to -270) and Charlotte (+500 to +510) lost.
  • Total: six goals, so over 3.5 (-165 to -175) won.

SportsHub Soccer Handicappers: Oct 31–Nov 6

Here is the top of the all-soccer board for the seven days before this match:

HandicapperRecordNet ($)ROI
Randall Dickelman14-3+$99024.8%
Kyle Parker10-4+$31610.1%

See every record on the SportsHub handicappers leaderboard.

What's Next

Miami finishes the regular season 16-12-6 with 60 points, second in the East. Charlotte finishes 15-9-10 with 54, fifth, one point behind Chicago, which lost 4-3 at home to Columbus. Both clubs head to the MLS Cup Playoffs. MLS's schedule lists Round One as best-of-three series, with the first matches on November 20; pairings and kickoff times haven't been posted yet.

More: MLS picks · Soccer · Handicappers · Weekly picks results

Get Our Top Handicappers' Picks

Every pick timestamped and graded in public.

Get Free PicksSee Pricing

Pregame preview

Inter Miami vs Charlotte Prediction, Picks & Odds (MLS Decision Day)

By SportsHub Model · Edited by Kyle Parker

The 20-second version

  • No edge: the model's 78% on Miami only clears the -250 to -270 price because it gives the draw 5%; the market prices the draw near 18%.
  • A Miami win clinches second in the East (59 points); New England (58) visits Orlando at the same time.
  • Charlotte is without Allan Saint-Maximin (suspended) and Tim Ream, and it is 5-4-7 on the road.
  • Miami has scored a league-high 77 goals but is only 6-8-2 at home.

Inter Miami (16-11-6, 59 points) hosts Charlotte FC (15-8-10, 53 points) on MLS Decision Day, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET at Nu Stadium, streaming on Apple TV. Miami is -250 to -270 to win, with the draw at +425 to +450 and Charlotte at +500 to +510. A win clinches second in the East, but Miami has been ordinary at home (6-8-2). Our call: no edge.

Decision Day stakes: second place vs. a climb to fourth

Nashville (74 points) already owns first in the East. Miami sits second on 59, one point clear of New England (58), which visits Orlando in the same 4:00 PM window. A Miami win clinches second. Anything less opens the door for the Revolution.

Charlotte is fifth on 53, two points behind Chicago (55), which hosts Columbus. A Charlotte win plus a Chicago loss lifts Charlotte to fourth. Philadelphia (47) can't catch it, so fifth is the floor.

How these teams got here

Miami is 3-1-1 in its last five, capped by a 2-1 win at New England on Nov. 2 that moved it into second. Before that came a 2-0 home win over NYCFC, a 3-1 win at Atlanta, a 2-0 loss at the Red Bulls and a 2-2 home draw with Cincinnati.

Charlotte arrives hot: 4-0 over Montréal on Oct. 28 and 4-0 over Orlando on Oct. 31, right after a three-match winless run (3-1 loss at Columbus, 2-2 at Philadelphia, 3-2 loss at Portland). It has had a full week off; Miami has had five days.

The home/road picture runs backwards. Miami is 10-3-4 on the road but only 6-8-2 at home, where eight draws have bled points. Charlotte is 10-4-3 at home and 5-4-7 away, with 26 goals scored and 32 allowed on the road.

Messi's attack against Charlotte's back line

Miami has scored 77 goals, the most in MLS. Lionel Messi has 26 goals and 15 assists in 30 matches, Luis Suárez has 16 goals and Germán Berterame 10. Rodrigo De Paul leads the club with 16 assists.

The bill comes due at the other end. Miami has allowed 56 goals, eight more than Charlotte's 48, and that helps explain why so many of its home games finish level.

Charlotte's attack runs through Idan Toklomati (15 goals) and Pep Biel (13 goals, 13 assists), with Ashley Westwood adding 10 assists. The only 2026 meeting, on March 14 in Charlotte, ended 0-0.

Charlotte's missing pieces

Allan Saint-Maximin is suspended for this match after a red card for offensive language, per the league's disciplinary summary. That stings: he has 7 assists in 14 appearances. Defender Tim Ream, third on the team in completed passes, is out, along with Archie Goodwin, Nimfasha Berchimas, Aron John and Will Cleary.

Miami is without Tadeo Allende, Mateo Silvetti and Fricio Caicedo on the league's availability report. Messi, Suárez and De Paul are not on it.

How the line has moved

Miami opened around -230 and now sits at -250 to -270. Charlotte has drifted from +425 to +500–510, and the draw from +400 to +425–450. At the current number, a Miami bet needs to cash 71% to 73% of the time just to break even.

Prediction: no edge

No edge. Here's why:

  • The model has Miami at 78%, above the 71.4% break-even of the best available price (-250). But it gives the draw only 5%, while the market's no-vig price puts the draw near 18%. Give the draw a realistic share and the gap disappears.
  • Miami's home form is the weak spot in its profile: 8 draws in 16 home games.
  • Charlotte's absences (Saint-Maximin, Ream) are real, and the market has already moved toward Miami.
  • Charlotte's 5-4-7 road record doesn't make +500 a bargain either.

Swing factor: the score in Orlando. If New England is dropping points, a draw keeps Miami second, and that can change how hard Miami chases a winner late.

Total: 3.5, with the over at -165 to -175. Miami's matches average about 4.0 goals and Charlotte's about 3.4, but that price on the over leaves nothing to grab. We pass on the total too.

Tale of the tape

Season to date. The better side of each stat is highlighted; league rank in brackets.

Inter MiamiCharlotte FC
  • 80.0 Goals 66.0
  • 59.0 Goals against 51.0
  • 57.2% Possession 46.3%
  • 6.0 Shots on target 4.8
  • 87.8% Pass accuracy 86.3%

Inter Miami vs Charlotte FC FAQ

Who won Inter Miami vs Charlotte on MLS Decision Day?

Neither team. Inter Miami and Charlotte drew 3-3 at Nu Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 7. Charlotte came back from 3-0 down at halftime, with Rodolfo Aloko scoring the equalizer in the 90th minute.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Charlotte?

Inter Miami 3, Charlotte 3. Ian Fray, Luis Suárez and Rodrigo De Paul scored for Miami in the first half. Liel Abada (2) and Rodolfo Aloko scored for Charlotte after halftime.

Who did the SportsHub model favor in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?

The model favored Inter Miami at 78% and gave the draw 5%. Our preview called it no edge because the market priced the draw near 18%. The match ended in a draw, so the model's favorite did not win.

Who was the top performer in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?

Charlotte's Liel Abada scored twice in five minutes, in the 50th and 55th, to start the comeback. Substitute Rodolfo Aloko added the equalizer.

Where did Inter Miami and Charlotte finish in the East?

Inter Miami finished second in the Eastern Conference with 60 points (16-12-6). Charlotte finished fifth with 54 (15-9-10). Both head to the MLS Cup Playoffs, whose first Round One matches are listed for November 20.

Why bettors trust SportsHub

Picks you can verify, not promises.

Every expert's record is built from picks we timestamp before the game and grade after it. Wins and losses, in public.

  • 78+

    verified experts across every sport

  • Locked

    before the game starts: no edits

  • Graded

    in public, every pick, every day

Hottest MLS experts

Last 30 days
  1. 1Randall Dickelman31 graded picks+$1,312
  2. 2Kyle Parker29 graded picks+$909
  3. 3Tyler Williams49 graded picks+$303
See the full leaderboard

Get free MLS picks in your inbox

Create a free account for free expert picks and our daily email. Unsubscribe anytime.