European Soccer Weekly Report – Ride Serie A Goal Trends

Soccer bettors should think about riding the latest Serie A goal trends when making their picks this weekend! Serie A Overs have been a regular betting tendency this season, and the latest results have indicated that plenty of goals are still being scored in the Italian top-flight. 

Welcome back to this week’s edition of our weekly European soccer report. We had the Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga in action last weekend. All five of the major Euro leagues are in action this week, though, so we will have a full schedule to dive into for our soccer wagers. 

As a result, make sure that you check out our report this week so that you are fully up to date with the most recent soccer betting tendencies. Serie A goal trends have been a key feature this season, and it may be wise to target Overs in Italy again this weekend. 

European Soccer Weekly Report – Results & Key Stats 

As always, I have provided you with a full breakdown of all of the results from the Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga. The full analysis for Serie A goal trends is coming up later on. 

Ligue 1 didn’t feature last weekend as teams played in the Coupe de France. However, we have a full set of fixtures back on the schedule this week. You can still view the key statistics from the latest round of results to help you make your picks this week. 

Ligue 1: 

Key Stats: 

• 44.44% of Ligue 1 matches saw both teams score during Round 18
• 44.44% of Ligue 1 matches saw over 2.5 goals during Round 18
• PSG have lost just one Ligue 1 match so far this term and lead by eight points
• Brest are undefeated across their last seven league matches, winning six in the process
• Marseille are unbeaten across their last six in Ligue 1 
• Metz have lost their last five consecutive league matches
• Loreint are without a victory in nine Ligue 1 outings 
• 44.44% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in home wins during Round 18
• 11.11% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in draws during Round 18
• 44.44% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in away wins during Round 18

Bundesliga: 

Round 18

• Darmstadt 2-2 Frankfurt
• Heidenheim 1-1 Wolfsburg
• Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
• FC Köln 0-4 Borussia Dortmund
• Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim 
• RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen 
• Bayern Munich 0-1 Werder Bremen
• Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 Augsburg

Key Stats: 

• 62.5% of Bundesliga games during Round 18 saw both teams score 
• 62.5% of Bundesliga games during Round 18 saw over 2.5 goals
• 50% of games during Round 18 saw over 3.5 Bundesliga goals
• Leverkusen are the only team that remain undefeated this term 
• Darmstadt are without a win in 11 in the league 
• 25% of matches resulted in home wins during Round 18
• 25% of matches resulted in draws during Round 18
• 50% of matches resulted in away wins during Round 18

Serie A:

Round 21

• Roma 2-1 Verona
• Udinese 2-3 Milan
• Frosinone 3-1 Cagliari 
• Empoli 3-0 Monza
• Salernitana 1-2 Genoa
• Lecce 0-3 Juventus

Key Stats: 

• 66.67% of matches from Round 21 saw both teams score in Serie A 
• 100% of matches from Round 21 saw over 2.5 Serie A goals 
• Inter and Juventus have both lost just one league game this term
• Juventus are unbeaten across their last 16 matches, winning 13 in the process 
• Inter haven’t lost a league match over their past 14 outings
• Salernitana and Udinese have just two league wins each this season (lowest in Serie A)
• 50% of Serie A matches ended in home wins during Round 21
• 0% of Serie A matches ended in draws during Round 21
• 50% of Serie A matches ended in away wins during Round 21

La Liga: 

Round 21

• Alaves 1-0 Cadiz 
• Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Las Palmas 
• Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca
• Valencia 1-0 Athletic Bilbao 
• Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad
• Osasuna 3-2 Getafe
• Real Madrid 3-2 Almeria
• Real Betis 2-4 Barcelona
• Girona 5-1 Sevilla
• Granada 0-1 Atletico Madrid 

Key Stats:

• 50% of La Liga matches saw both teams score during Round 21
• 40% of La Liga matches saw over 2.5 goals during Round 21
• 40% of matches during Round 21 saw over 3.5 La Liga goals
• Girona sit atop the standings on 52 points, but Real Madrid have a game in hand 
• Real Madrid haven’t lost any of their last 14 La Liga outings
• Girona are unbeaten across their last 13 in the league, winning ten in the process
• Almeria are the only team left in La Liga yet to record a win
• Cadiz have failed to win any of their last 17 successive league outings
• 50% of La Liga games ended in home wins during Round 21
• 10% of La Liga games ended in draws during Round 21
• 40% of La Liga games ended in away wins during Round 21

European Soccer Weekly Report – Serie A Goal Trends

Those that regularly keep up to date with Sports Hub’s weekly Euro soccer report will know that Serie A goal trends have been a hot topic of conversation. Serie A Overs have been landing on a consistent basis, and I highlighted that trend last week as well. 

That trend continued with the latest results. 100% of the six Serie A games on the schedule saw over 2.5 goals. Despite the number of matches being cut down from ten to six, and, thus, the volume of data being smaller, it is still a consistent tendency at the moment. 

It is now three weeks in a row where we have seen over 50% of all Serie A matches have over 2.5 goals. Round 19 had 60%, Round 20 had 80%, and Round 21 saw all of its games have over 2.5 goals. Therefore, we suggest riding that trend again this weekend. 

Euro Soccer Betting Trends – Serie A totals breakdown 

I made three Serie A totals bets last week. Having selected the over in all three wagers, I was right in backing over 2/2.5 goals as they all resulted in winners. It is clear that following Serie A goal trends can result in some good profits. Take a look at the bets from last weekend here: 

• Salernitana 1-2 Genoa (Bet: O2, -124)
• Udinese 2-3 Milan (Bet: O2.5, -120)
• Lecce 0-3 Juventus (Bet: O2, -132)

As you can see, all three selections managed to land, meaning that backing the over in Serie A games was extremely profitable. The bookmakers set the line for two of those aforementioned games quite low at 2. However, even if it was set at the usual line of 2.5, the two bets would have still hit. 

One of the reasons as to why I backed the over in the Salernitana vs Genoa game was because the hosts had one of the highest over 2.5 goal ratios in the league (65%). That ratio increased to 70% for their home games. Both teams have also been bad defensively this term. 

Moreover, the Udinese vs Milan was a good game to identify for the over to land. That’s because Milan had one of the highest ratios for over 2.5 goals for away games, with that bet landing in 80% of their games before the game took place. It’s always a good tactic to analyze the over 2.5 goals ratios when looking at Serie A goal trends. 

Euro Soccer Betting Trends – Should you continue riding this trend? 

The last few weeks have demonstrated that Serie A goal trends are a good source of profit. In particular, backing the over looks to be a good bet. However, as I have stated before, it’s always important to look at the lines that the oddsmakers set. Check out the lines for this weekend’s matches below: 

• Cagliari vs Torino: Total O2 (-131), U2 (+111)
• Milan vs Bologna: Total O2.5 (+114), U2.5 (-134)
• Juventus vs Empoli: Total O2.5 (-123), U2.5 (+103)
• Atalanta vs Udinese: Total O2.5 (-136), U2.5 (+116)
• Genoa vs Lecce: Total O2 (+101), U2 (-121)
• Monza vs Sassuolo: Total O2.5 (-138), U2.5 (+118)
• Lazio vs Napoli: Total O2 (-146), U2 (+126)
• Verona vs Frosinone: Total O2.5 (+104), U2.5 (-124)
• Fiorentina vs Inter: Total O2.5 (-105), U2.5 (-115)
• Salernitana vs Roma: Total O2.5 (+116), U2.5 (-136)

In some games, the bookies have set the under at plus money in order to encourage more wagers on this line. They know that Overs have been common of late in terms of Serie A goal trends, and thus are looking to entice more bets on the under. 

Nevertheless, we can still find value in backing Overs if we identify the right games. That can be done by cross-referencing the over 2.5 goals ratios throughout the season so far with home and away games, as well as more recent ratios for each team. 

The suggestion is that you should certainly consider backing the over in Serie A matches again this weekend. However, you must first weigh up whether the line and odds are representing good value. Equally, it would be a good idea to ensure that you are analyzing the over 2.5 goals statistics too before making your picks.