Conference Championship NFL Futures Report

Updated:

We’re ready with our Conference Championship NFL Futures Report. There’s just one game left to go in the NFL season, meaning Super Bowl LVIII will be arriving soon! We’ve got a bunch of futures markets to take a look at this week, including some fun exotic props. 

The Conference Championship games concluded last week, and it will be the Kansas City Chiefs-San Francisco 49ers in the Super Bowl. Futures such as the AFC champion and the NFC champion were wrapped up last week as a result. 

Super Bowl LVIII – Conference Championship NFL Futures

Nevertheless, we have a number of Super Bowl futures to consider in our Conference Championship NFL Futures Report this week. We’re still a couple of weeks away before the championship game takes place. Is there a better way to prepare by analyzing the latest futures markets? I don’t think so! Let’s get into it. 

Conference Championship NFL Futures Report – Top Markets 

The obvious market that we will be investigating for Conference Championship NFL Futures is the Super Bowl winner. Will it be the Chiefs or the Niners who lift the Lombardi Trophy? It will also be incredibly interesting to take a look at the odds for the Super Bowl MVP. Below you can find the full list of futures markets that we are analyzing this week:

  • Super Bowl Winner 
  • Super Bowl MVP
  • Coin Toss Props
  • Color of Gatorade Shower

There are so many futures markets that bettors can wager on ahead of the Super Bowl. The Championship game will see a bunch of bets made on markets such as the coin toss, the color of the Gatorade shower, and much, much more. 

Nonetheless, we will be focusing on the four aforementioned futures markets in our Conference Championship NFL Futures Report. First up, let’s take a look at the odds for the Super Bowl winner. 

Super Bowl Winner

Let’s kick off Conference Championship NFL Futures by taking a look at the Super Bowl winner odds prior to the Championship games:

  • San Francisco 49ers (+140)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+180)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (+425)
  • Detroit Lions (+800)

The Niners were the favorites to win the Super Bowl at the final four stage, and they managed to come back from 17 points down to beat the Detroit Lions 34-31 at Levi’s Stadium. They were 7-point favorites heading into the matchup, and the Lions put in an inspiring display. However, they couldn’t quite get over the line. 

One surprise, though, was that the Ravens were eliminated. They were 3-point favorites in their clash against the Chiefs, but, yet again, Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City delivered. Lamar Jackson crumbled when it mattered most. 

Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ defense clutched up, as it has done all season. Corner L’Jarius Sneed made a huge play to punch the ball out of Zay Flowers’ grasp right near the plane. It was a game-defining moment, and essentially secured the Chiefs’ spot in the Super Bowl. 

L’Jarius Sneed makes a huge play – Conference Championship NFL Futures

Here are the latest Super Bowl 2024 odds: 

  • San Francisco 49ers (-130)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (+110)

San Francisco head into the Super Bowl as 2-point favorites (-110). However, they have struggled to cover the spread throughout the postseason. It’s set to be an incredibly tight game. It was the Chiefs who were victorious when the two teams met at Super Bowl LIV, securing a 31-20 win at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami. 

The favorites are 37-20 for the Super Bowl, so odds look good for San Francisco to lift the trophy right now. They haven’t won the championship since 1994. As for the Chiefs, they appear to be emulating a Patriots-esque dynasty. They’ll be searching for their third Super Bowl triumph in five years. 

Will Mahomes and Kelce manage to take advantage of a seemingly leaky Niners defense? Or will the affluent 49ers offense be able to get past an incredibly sturdy Chiefs defense? The game total is currently set at 47.5. 

Super Bowl MVP

The next obvious futures market to examine in my Conference Championship NFL Futures Report is the Super Bowl MVP. Here’s a quick reminder of the odds for the top-five contenders to win Super Bowl MVP prior to the Championship games:

  • Lamar Jackson (+210) QB Baltimore Ravens 
  • Brock Purdy (+301) QB San Francisco 49ers
  • Patrick Mahomes (+500) QB Kansas City Chiefs
  • Christian McCaffrey (+650) RB San Francisco 49ers
  • Jared Goff (+1200) QB Detroit Lions

The MVP favorite in Lamar was eliminated after the Ravens’ loss to Kansas City. LJ failed to produce on his home field, completing 54.1% of his passes for just one touchdown and an interception. Despite rushing for 58 yards, he failed to score. Baltimore simply couldn’t do enough on offense to get back into the game after going down 17-7. 

As I stated last week in my Divisional Round NFL Futures Report, it was almost certain that Mahomes would become the favorite for Super Bowl MVP if the Chiefs advanced. He was priced as long as +500 before the Championship game, but is now +100. Mahomes has won Super Bowl MVP on two occasions in his career, and did so last season against the Philadelphia Eagles. 

Christian McCaffrey has been one of the best offensive players in the league this season and is likely to be awarded Offensive Player of the Year. His price of +325 is offering some good value. He rushed for 90 yards and a TD against Detroit, but a running back hasn’t won Super Bowl MVP since 1998. 

Check out the updated Super Bowl MVP odds here: 

  • Patrick Mahomes (+100) QB Kansas City Chiefs
  • Brock Purdy (+175) QB San Francisco 49ers
  • Christian McCaffrey (+325) RB San Francisco 49ers
  • Travis Kelce (+1350) TE Kansas City Chiefs 
  • Deebo Samuel (+2000) WR San Francisco 49ers
  • Isiah Pacheco (+2800) RB Kansas City Chiefs 

Brock Purdy has a good shot at winning MVP if the Niners win the Super Bowl. His box score wasn’t the most impressive against the Lions, but he made a number of significant scrambles in the second half. His price has been cut from +301 to +175. 

Over the last ten years, QBs have won the award on six separate occasions, whilst wide receivers have done so twice, and linebackers twice as well. We could find some value in Deebo Samuel winning the award at +2000. He has the ability to produce game-winning plays. 

With linebackers having won the award in recent years, perhaps it could be a good bet to wager on Fred Warner (+125000) to win MVP. The Niners LB was the highest rated player in his position this season according to PFF. Such huge odds means that bettors could be in for some mammoth payouts. Could be worth a $10 bet. 

Fred Warner – Conference Championship NFL Futures

Coin Toss Props

The Super Bowl offers an opportunity to have a bit of fun when making your bets. That’s where we’re heading next in our Conference Championship NFL Futures Report. Bettors love gambling on the coin toss, for example. Here are the odds: 

  • Heads (-105)
  • Tails (-105)

Of course, the odds are always 50-50, and that is reflected by the price. However, the coin toss has resulted in tails more than heads. Heads has won a total of 27 times, whilst tails has won 30 times. The Chiefs won the coin toss last year against the Eagles, correctly calling tails. That was the first time that the team who won the toss also won the Super Bowl for the first time since 2014. 

In more recent times, tails has been favored too. That has seen it won on seven separate occasions over the last ten years. However, both Super Bowl LV and LVI saw heads come out on top. When the Chiefs and the Niners met at Super Bowl 2020, San Francisco won the coin toss by calling tails. 

Color of Gatorade Shower 

We’ll wrap up my Conference Championship NFL Futures Report by looking at the odds for the color of the Gatorade shower: 

  • Purple (+275)
  • Orange (+350)
  • Red / Pink (+350)
  • Yellow / Green (+425)
  • Blue (+450)
  • Clear / Water (+1200)
  • No Gatorade Poured (+1600)

The winning team in the Super Bowl will typically soak their head coach in Gatorade post-game. Therefore, bettors also love wagering on the color of the Gatorade shower, and it is one of the most popular Super Bowl futures bets. 

The reason why Purple is leading the market is because that was the color of the shower used last season when the Chiefs won. However, that was the first time it was used since 2012.

Blue was used twice in a row for 2021 and 2022 when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Los Angeles Rams won respectively. Odds for there to be no Gatorade shower are at +1600. That bet came in last in 2017 when the New England Patriots beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-28. 

The most common color over the past ten years is Blue, being used in 2015, 2019, 2021 and 2022. After that, Orange has been used a total of three times (2014, 2016, 2020). Yellow has been used just once over the past 14 years (2018).