Week 11 NFL Picks
We are just a week away from Thanksgiving when stuff gets real in the NFL. How have your NFL picks been so far this season? Have you been following ours? Our Week 11 NFL picks are here.
After 9 weeks, things are still very close around the league. There are only six or seven teams that have fallen from the playoff picture, with 22 teams tallying four or more wins. 4 teams have a bye in week 11, equalling two fewer games for us to choose from. There are a ton of division matchups for our week 11 NFL picks.
Exactly half of the 14 games on the Week 11 schedule are division matchups. That action starts on Thursday Night Football when the Baltimore Ravens host the Cincinnati Bengals. The Ravens are currently a three-point home favorite with the total set at 44. With some terrible matchups lately on Thursday, this one means a lot.
On NFL Week 11
Division Matchups for Week 11 NFL Picks
Some other division matchups to watch feature the other two AFC North teams when the Browns host the Steelers. We also have the Lions hosting the Bears, Tennessee traveling to Jacksonville, and Buffalo welcoming in the Jets.
Perhaps the most intriguing matchup of the week wraps up Week 11 on Monday Night Football. Some experts think this could be a Super Bowl repeat when the Philadelphia Eagles visit Arrowhead Stadium to play the Kansas City Chiefs.
A rematch of Super Bowl LVII, just 9 months ago, sets the stage for two of the top teams to tangle. Following a 38-35 win by the Chiefs over the Eagles in the Super Bowl, both teams did enough in the off-season to stay atop the standings in 2023.
You best get your popcorn ready for this one. Both teams will be fighting for supremacy, looking towards another matchup in Vegas in February. The Chiefs are currently a 2½- point favorite with the total at 48. Will your Week 11 NFL picks be zoned in for this one?
Spreads & Totals, Moneylines for Week 11 NFL Picks
Remember earlier when we talked about all the division matchups? We usually associate division games with close spreads. But that’s not the case this week.
The Bengals at Ravens spread represents the shortest spread (-3), tied with the Seahawks at Rams. Check out the spreads for Sunday’s division matchups:
- Steelers @ Browns (-4.5)
- Bears @ Lions (-8.5)
- Titans @ Jaguars (-6)
- Giants @ Commanders (-8.5)
- Jets @ Bills (-6.5)
- Seahawks (-3) @ Rams
It’s interesting to see all except one of these teams are heavy home favorites. This is the NFL, and the expected rarely happens. When looking at your Week 11 NFL picks, remember that there’s a good chance multiple dogs win outright. The problem is figuring out who it will be. Let our handicappers guide you through your Week 11 NFL picks. A membership at SportsHub is free.
Best Pick ATS
If you are going to make Week 11 NFL picks then you need to try to figure out how to bet against the spread. The Dallas Cowboys visit the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, and this game should be one that is over by halftime.
Carolina has just one win on the year, and they looked like an absolute mess on offense in a Week 10 loss to the Bears. Dallas won’t have any trouble scoring points in this game as it will get out of hand in a hurry.
Best Moneyline Pick
Finding value is also key when making Week 11 NFL picks, and there is an opportunity to do just that one Sunday Night Football. The Minnesota Vikings will visit the Denver Broncos and both of these teams come into this game with momentum.
Denver is a slight betting favorite at -2.5 in this game, but that betting line doesn’t exactly make a ton of sense when looking at how well the Vikings have played. Take the Vikings at +125 on the money line as they win again to move to 7-4 on the year.
Best Total Pick
AFC South rivals are set to meet in Jacksonville as the Jaguars will host the Tennessee Titans. This game looks like it should be a mismatch on paper, but it’s hard to know how things will play out, this is a game that won’t have a ton of offense.
Tennessee will be running the football a ton, and the Jaguars have a defense that won’t let them have a ton of success. Jacksonville has been struggling to score touchdowns of late, and it’s going to lead to a very low-scoring game on Sunday.
Best Player Prop
The Buffalo Bills are back at 5-5 on the year after some bad losses in a row, and they are hosting the New York Jets on Sunday. This is a must-win game for either team, but it’s hard to predict just how each team is going to perform.
The Buffalo Bills need a much better performance from Josh Allen in this game as he has been one of the reasons that he has struggled of late. Look for the Bills quarterback to find the end zone in this matchup as he will put his team on his back.
Best Team Prop
The New York Giants visit the Washington Commanders in a big NFC East rivalry game in Week 11. New York looks like one of the worst teams in the league this season, while Washington is still in the playoff hunt.
This Giants offense has been a disaster this season, and that could create a ton of issues against an aggressive Washington defense. It’s hard to make a pick on the team that covers the spread in this one, but taking the Giants to struggle on offense again is the bet to make.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
A pair of 6-3 AFC North teams are meeting up in Cleveland this weekend as this division is still wide open. Both teams got a big win in Week 10 and that will have two teams with a ton of momentum for this matchup.
This is a division in which home-field advantage tends to matter a ton, and that will end up giving the Browns a big advantage in this game. It’s not going to be easy for Cleveland to pull away, but they will win this game and cover the spread.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans
The Houston Texans are one of the hottest teams in the league, and they are going to look to stay red-hot against the 2-8 Cardinals. Arizona is much better now that they have Kyler Murray back under center, but they still have some major flaws facing them.
Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud isn’t just the best rookie in the league, but he is also one of the best overall players. This should be another big game for Stroud against a bad Cardinals defense, and there is a good player prop option in this one.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins
The 5-5 Las Vegas Raiders will try to stay on the right track when they visit the 6-3 Miami Dolphins this weekend. There is a massive spread in this game, and this is an opportunity to take the points and root for a close game.
The Raiders have looked like a different team under a new head coach, and they aren’t going to go down without a fight. Miami hasn’t looked sharp in recent weeks, and they aren’t going to suddenly flip a switch and pick up a blowout win.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers
A pair of sub-.500 teams will meet in Green Bay in Week 11 as the Packers are set to host the Los Angeles Chargers. Both teams suffered a loss in Week 10 and that will create some desperation from the Chargers and Packers this weekend.
The Los Angeles Chargers are one of the best offensive teams in the NFL this season, and they are facing a Packers defense that will give up some points. Green Bay will be forced to try and throw the football deep in order to keep pace in this matchup.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams
NFC West rivals are set to meet up in Los Angeles this weekend as the Rams will host the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle has gone 6-3 so far this season, but they continue to be a bit underrated, and the odds reflect that.
Los Angeles has gone 3-6 for a reason this season, and they are also a team that is dealing with a ton of injuries. The Rams should get a slight boost from playing at home in this game, but it’s not going to be enough to allow them to pick up a win.
Get a SportsHub Membership For Week 11 NFL Picks
Our handicappers come from all different backgrounds, each with their own knowledge and experience. Log in and access Sports Hub’s member area – then click on “leaderboard”.
From there, you will be able to sort every pick, from every handicapper. Sort by sport, league, bet type or period. You can do this for various time frames. Wanna see who’s been hot the past month, no problem. Maybe you want to see who crushed it yesterday, you can do that too.
Our sortable leaderboard is just one feature that makes finding the best pick for you today simple. You can also browse picks by game, so if there’s a game you are watching tonight, you can see every pick. Some cappers will also provide in-depth analysis.
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Week 11 NFL Picks FAQ
How many teams are on a bye in Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season?
We have 14 games to make our Week 11 NFL picks from. Meaning, there are four teams on a bye in Week 11. Teams on a bye include the Atlanta Falcons, the Indianapolis Colts, the New England Patriots, and the New Orleans Saints.
What is the most common final score in the NFL?
20-17 is the most common final score for games in the history of the NFL. The second is 27-24, followed by 17-14 and 23-20.
How do I sign up at Sports Hub?
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