Week 17 NFL Futures Report

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We’re heading towards the final week of the 2023 NFL regular season and so it seems appropriate for us to take a look at Week 17 NFL Futures. With Week 18 on the horizon, some NFL futures will be wrapped up soon. 

Nevertheless, postseason performances will still have a big say in plenty of other futures markets. In my Week 17 NFL Futures Report, I will be taking you through all of the most relevant futures markets still yet to be determined. 

Of course, we still don’t know who is going to win Super Bowl LVIII. But, we’re starting to get a clearer picture about which teams we could see in Nevada come February 11th. It won’t be long until the playoffs start and that’s when the real fun begins. Let’s delve into Week 17 NFL futures!

Week 17 NFL Futures – Top Markets 

Throughout the regular season, I have been investigating the ever-changing odds for a host of top NFL futures markets. It has been incredibly intriguing to see how the markets and prices have changed from week to week. 

Here is a full list of markets I will be examining in Week 17 NFL futures:

  • Super Bowl Winner 
  • AFC Champion
  • NFC Champion
  • MVP 
  • Offensive Player of the Year
  • Defensive Player of the Year

The Super Bowl winner is still an interesting market so be sure to take a look at the odds after Week 17. The playoffs will have a big say in the AFC and NFC champion markets, so it is still important to analyze the odds. 

However, the MVP race is essentially over so I will only be giving you a brief update on that market this week. Further individual awards are still yet to be decided as we enter Week 18, so I will also be taking you through those markets as well in Week 17 NFL futures. 

Super Bowl Winner

As always, my Week 17 NFL Futures Report will open by examining the odds to win the Super Bowl. Here’s a reminder of the odds for the top-ten contenders through Week 16:

  • San Francisco 49ers (+230)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+400)
  • Miami Dolphins (+800)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (+800)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (+850)
  • Buffalo Bills (+1000)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+1100)
  • Detroit Lions (+1800)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (+3500)
  • Cleveland Browns (+3500)

It seems pretty clear at this stage of the season that the San Francisco 49ers and the Baltimore Ravens are the most likely teams to reach Super Bowl LVIII. Since Week 14, those two teams have been the frontrunners to lift the Lombardi Trophy. 

Both franchises have been incredible throughout the 2023 season and have already secured their respective No.1 seeds. They both get a bye during the Wild Card Round and home field advantage for the postseason. Despite the Niners (12-4) losing 33-19 during Week 16 to the Ravens (13-3), and Baltimore having a slightly better record, oddsmakers still have San Francisco as favorites to win the Super Bowl. 

Check out the most recent prices for the Super Bowl winner after Week 17: 

  • San Francisco 49ers (+215)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+330)
  • Buffalo Bills (+800)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+850)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (+950)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (+1100)
  • Miami Dolphins (+1300)
  • Detroit Lions (+2000)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (+3500)
  • Cleveland Browns (+3500)

Although the Buffalo Bills are still yet to secure a playoff berth, the bookies have them as third favorites to win the Super Bowl. They can clinch the AFC East with a win over the Miami Dolphins on Sunday Night Football. However, if they lose, there’s a chance that they miss out on the postseason altogether!

The Philadelphia Eagles have been trending downwards now for some time. They have lost four of their last five and suffered a 35-31 defeat to the now 4-12 Arizona Cardinals last Sunday. As a result, their odds to win the Super Bowl have gone from +800 to +1100 from Week 16 to Week 17. 

AFC Champions

Everything is looking good for the Ravens right now and they have been favorites to win the AFC since Week 14. Despite already clinching the No.1 seed in the AFC, a lot can change in playoff football. Here’s a recap of the prices for the top-five candidates after Week 16:

  • Baltimore Ravens (+180)
  • Miami Dolphins (+360)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (+380)
  • Buffalo Bills (+480)
  • Cleveland Browns (+1500)

The Ravens continue to go from strength to strength and they have gotten even shorter from Week 16 to Week 17 as their price to win the conference has moved from +180 to +140. Their dominant 56-19 victory over the Dolphins would have impacted the odds. 

With Buffalo winning their last four straight, they have moved to second favorites to win the AFC. Everybody is hot on the Bills right now. They defeated the New England Patriots 27-21 last weekend. 

Below are the updated odds for the AFC champion after Week 17: 

  • Baltimore Ravens (+140)
  • Buffalo Bills (+380)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (+420)
  • Miami Dolphins (+550)
  • Cleveland Browns (+1600)

Despite Kansas City bouncing back with a 25-17 triumph over the Cincinnati Bengals during Week 17 and clinching a playoff place, their odds have lengthened to win the conference from +380 to +420. That will largely be down to many bettors riding the Bills trend. 

The market has also been influenced by the heavy loss for the Fins against the Ravens. Miami has moved from +360 to +550 to win the AFC. 

Week 17 NFL Futures

NFC champions Philadelphia Eagles

NFC Champions 

Heading on over to the NFC champion market in Week 17 NFL futures, it will come as little surprise that the Niners are strong favorites to win the conference. Take a look at the odds for the top-five contenders after Week 16:

  • San Francisco 49ers (+100)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (+375)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+480)
  • Detroit Lions (+750)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+3000)

The Niners are back down to minus money to win the conference after they locked up the No.1 seed and home field advantage in the playoffs with their 27-10 win over the Washington Commanders. 

Below you can find the most recent prices for the top-five to win the NFC after Week 17:

  • San Francisco 49ers (-120)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+375)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (+500)
  • Detroit Lions (+800)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+2500)

It has been a tough season for the Eagles and perhaps the loss of coordinators Shane Steichen and Jonathan Gannon during the offseason has made a bigger impact than first thought. They’re no longer second favorites to win the NFC and have moved from +375 to +500. 

It’s the Cowboys who are now second in the market as they narrowly beat the Detroit Lions 20-19, in spite of a dodgy call by referee Brad Allen. Their price has come in from +480 to +375. 

Momentum is important as we head into the postseason. Having won six of their last seven games, perhaps we could find some excellent value in the Los Angeles Rams winning the NFC. Their price has gotten shorter from +3000 to +2500 to win the conference and they could be worth a $10 bet with the way they have been performing of late. 

MVP

It looks as though Lamar Jackson is the guy to win MVP. He took a huge step in winning the award after Week 16 following Baltimore’s win over the Niners, becoming the odds-on favorite. 

Well, it looks like the MVP race is over. Jackson all but confirmed his status as the MVP for 2023 after throwing five touchdowns in the comprehensive win over the Dolphins. He is now -20000 to win the award! 

Despite Christian McCaffrery having a stellar campaign for San Francisco, the award usually goes to a QB. CMC arguably deserves to win it over LJ. But, the fact that Lamar has thrown seven touchdowns and zero interceptions in two key games against the Niners and the Fins means he is the rightful victor. 

Offensive Player of the Year 

One award that McCaffrey looks set to win, though, is Offensive Player of the Year. Week 17 NFL futures will now examine the OPOY market. First up, here’s a recap of the odds after Week 16:

  • Christian McCaffrey (-212) RB San Francisco 49ers
  • Tyreek Hill (+155) WR Miami Dolphins 
  • Lamar Jackson (+6000) QB Baltimore Ravens
  • Ceedee Lamb (+6000) WR Dallas Cowboys 
  • A.J. Brown (+8000) WR Philadelphia Eagles 

CMC has been minus money to win OPOY now over the past couple of weeks. His price has gotten ever shorter from Week 16 to Week 17, moving from -212 to -300. He will most likely collect his deserved plaudits with this award after rushing for 1,459 yards, racking up 564 receiving yards and scoring a total of 21 touchdowns in 2023. He’ll have a week off during Week 18. 

Below are the updated odds to win OPOY after Week 17:

  • Christian McCaffrey (-300) RB San Francisco 49ers
  • Tyreek Hill (-108) WR Miami Dolphins 
  • Ceedee Lamb (+2000) WR Dallas Cowboys 
  • Lamar Jackson (+10000) QB Baltimore Ravens
  • Dak Prescott (+15000) QB Dallas Cowboys

Tyreek Hill has also had an incredible campaign for the Dolphins. It looked as though he was on track to break the receiving yards record this season, but injuries over the last few weeks have seen his performances slightly dip. He still has 1,717 receiving yards this season and 12 touchdowns, but McCaffrey is expected to win OPOY. 

With CMC out for Week 18, a career day for either Hill or Ceedee Lamb during the final week could give them a slim chance at winning the award. However, it seems unlikely at this point. The odds on Cheetah to win (-108) aren’t offering much value, either. 

Defensive Player of the Year

The final market that I will be inspecting in Week 17 NFL futures is Defensive Player of the Year. Myles Garrett is the consensus favorite and he looks likely to win the award. You can find a recap of the odds for DPOY after Week 16 here:

  • Myles Garrett (-235) DE Cleveland Browns 
  • Micah Parsons (+175) LB Dallas Cowboys 
  • T.J. Watt (+515) LB Pittsburgh Steelers 
  • Maxx Crosby (+2500) DE Las Vegas Raiders
  • Josh Allen (+3000) LB Jacksonville Jaguars

Although T.J. Watt leads the sack race (17), alongside Trey Hendrickson of the Bengals, it is Garrett and Micah Parsons who are the two frontrunners to win DPOY. Garrett has still managed to rack up 14 sacks himself and leads all edge defenders across the league, according to PFF grade. 

Below you can find the updates prices to win DPOY after Week 17:

  • Myles Garrett (-240) DE Cleveland Browns 
  • Micah Parsons (+250) LB Dallas Cowboys 
  • T.J. Watt (+380) LB Pittsburgh Steelers 
  • Maxx Crosby (+5000) DE Las Vegas Raiders
  • Matt Judon (+6349) LB New England Patriots

Guys such as Parsons, Nick Bosa and Aidan Hutchinson all appear to have performed better than Garrett according to stats such as pressures, hits and hurries. However, the Browns edge rusher has been the consensus DPOY since he is the main guy in one of the best defenses in the league this season. 

Parsons has moved from +175 to +250 to win the award, whilst Watt still has a shot after his odds were slashed from +515 to +380. With the Cowboys edge rusher leading the league in pressures (102) and pass rush win rate (37.6%), he could still offer some good value to win DPOY. If he has a monster performance against the Commanders in Week 18, he still has a chance at winning the award.