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Friday in Montpellier was a serve-dominated card, and that always changes the betting feel. When both matches are decided by a handful of pressure points, it’s less about “who’s better” and more about who protects their service games at the right moments.
If you’re trying to handicap this type of indoor spot, this Sportshub guide is the right baseline: tips for betting on tennis.
Mannarino vs Gea Recap: Mannarino wins 5-7, 6-4, 6-4
Adrian Mannarino survived a heavy serving night from Arthur Gea, who hit 12 aces, and turned a first-set loss into a three-set win in just over two and a half hours. Gea grabbed the opener after Mannarino dropped serve, but Mannarino stabilized and won the next two sets 6-4, 6-4.
From a betting lens, this read like a match where one early break decided Set 1, then the favorite’s steadier baseline hold level took over. The kind of match where live bettors usually watch for the first sign the underdog’s serve-plus-one efficiency slips.
Droguet vs Griekspoor Recap: Droguet wins 7-6 (5), 7-6 (1)
Qualifier Titouan Droguet rode 21 aces to a straight-set win over fourth-seeded Tallon Griekspoor. Two tiebreak sets, and the second breaker was lopsided.
This is the classic indoor ace profile: if the return games are mostly neutralized, the match compresses into tiebreak execution. That’s where small edges become huge, and it’s why totals and tiebreak props can matter more than the side when serving is dominant.
Auger-Aliassime vs Fils Recap: Auger-Aliassime wins 6-4, 6-2
Top seed Felix Auger-Aliassime hit 12 aces and handled Arthur Fils in straight sets. This one did not drift into a tiebreak script, which tells you Auger-Aliassime found return pressure often enough to create separation.
Damm vs Nardi Recap: Damm wins 6-3, 7-6 (8)
American qualifier Martin Damm beat Luca Nardi 6-3, 7-6 (8) in a tight second-set finish. The tiebreak went deep, but Damm closed it.
Semifinals Set
- Martin Damm vs Adrian Mannarino
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet
For bettors, the headline is obvious: Droguet just proved he can drag a seeded opponent into tiebreak tennis with serve volume, and Mannarino showed he can absorb an early punch and still win the match. If you want more tournament-style context for how these patterns show up in bigger events, Sportshub’s Australian Open betting guide and US Open betting tips map to the same core idea: indoor or fast hard courts amplify serve, and the match can be decided by very few points.
