It’s an interesting week on the PGA Tour, but we have your 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies best bets.
2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Best Bets
This is the last season that the Dell-WGC Match Play event at the Austin Country Club in Texas will take place. This is a different type of weekend for professional golf so my picks are formatted differently.
I’m giving my overall picks and then giving my pick for each of the groups. There are 16 groups with four players in each group.
The winners of the round-robin group matches then move to an elimination round, and possibly the title. And, a familiar favorite is at the top of the odds list to take it all and that’s Scottie Scheffler at +800.
Rory McIlroy enters at +1200, slightly behind Jon Rahm at +1100, who was the favorite last year. The numbers are tight this week because there are just 64 participants in the field. The Corales Puntacana Championship also runs this week, with a full field of pros. Let’s look at the event info before getting into our 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies best bets.
2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Info
Where: Austin, Texas
Course: Austin Country Club
Format: Match Play
When: March 22 –26, 2023
Purse: $20 Million
TV Coverage: NBC/Golf/Peacock/ESPN+
Austin Country Club has not changed much since a huge number of damaged trees were removed following winter snow and ice storms a few years ago.
2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Best Bets
To Win Outright – Scottie Scheffler +800
I’m riding Scottie Scheffler at the WGC-Dell this week because of the way he’s moved through the last few events. When looking at 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies best bets, you can’t overlook Scheffler.
It’s almost identical to how he played last season when he rattled off several wins. He may be in better form than then! He’s won the WM Phoenix Open and THE PLAYERS already this season and could add a third title defense to his record this year.
Pick from the Pack – Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Tyrrell Hatton has made it out of the group play here only to be eliminated before the final. However, Hatton seems to be playing some of his best golf. He finished T4 at Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer and had a chance to take the win at TPC Sawgrass and THE PLAYERS Championship.
Hatton is now 16th on the OWGR ranking list and incredibly accurate with his approach shots this season. He should move on from his group once again.
Dark Horse Pick – Tommy Fleetwood +4500
Tommy Fleetwood looked on top of his game last week at the Valspar. And, he’s the player that beat Speith last season at this event before Speith went on to win the 2022 Dell title.
Picks for Top-Four Seeds & Their Groups – 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Best Bets
Here are my picks for the top-four groups/seeds. My picks for the remaining groups are listed below.
Group One – Scottie Scheffler +800
Scottie Scheffler (1)
Tom Kim (17)
Alex Noren (38)
Davis Riley (54)
I’m going with Scottie Scheffler. He is the overall No. 1 seed for the Dell and he’s on a roll. He is the defending Dell champion, No. 1 in the world, and just earned a win at THE PLAYERS Championship as well as at the WM Phoenix Open earlier this season.
Tom Kim will be the player to beat out of his opening group as he comes in as the No. 17 seed. The good news is that Scheffler is trending to have a similar opening to the spring as he did last year and continue his winning streak. He has his driver, short game, and putter working right now. He’s chalk, but as said earlier, when looking at 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies best bets, Scheffler has been gold.
Group Two – Keith Mitchell +6000
Jon Rahm (2)
Billy Horschel (22)
Keith Mitchell (39)
Rickie Fowler (49)
This may be the toughest group of all.
Jon Rahm has had some inconsistent outings and he’s hard to bet against. And Rickie Fowler seems to be on the verge of returning to his winning ways – but he’s still working on his form.
All of that makes me go with Keith Mitchell over both Rahm and Fowler as well as Billy Horschel. Mitchell has broken into the top 50 on the OWGR list and has not missed a weekend since January. He carded a 5th place finish and a T4 in two of his last four outings.
Group Three – Rory McIlroy +1200
Rory McIlroy (3)
Keegan Bradley (20)
Denny McCarthy (48)
Scott Stallings (52)
In interviews, Rory McIlroy has declared that it was time to focus more on his golf. He’s become the public face of the PGA in the PR battle with LIV Golf. This is a perfect place to get his game on track and he may have the perfect bracket to move forward.
Keegan Bradley could offer some challenges as he’s got a great short game at times. But reports are that McIlroy has made a change to the length of his driver and has been at Augusta and seeing improved results. If Rory gets his driver going again then he will be hard to beat.
Group 4 – Patrick Cantlay +12500
Patrick Cantlay (4)
Brian Harman (25)
K.H. Lee (35)
Nick Taylor (55)
Patrick Cantlay is the No. 4 seed in the event but is a huge longshot on the odds list this week as comes in at +12500. He’s not been the greatest at these types of events but his game has improved this season when it comes to longer holes.
Cantlay’s leading the Tour in Par-4 and Par-5 scoring so far this season. If Cantlay wants to move forward the biggest obstacle in his group may be Nick Taylor who posted a T10 in his last outing.
Remaining Groups – 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Best Bets
Here’s a quick look at the remaining groups and seeding.
Group 5 – Max Homa +2000
Max Homa (5)
Hideki Matsuyama (18)
Kevin Kisner (42)
Justin Suh (63)
I’m looking at Max Homa here as I’ve leaned on him a few times. Homa carded a 2nd-place finish at the Genesis, T14 at the Arnold Palmer, and T6 at THE PLAYERS.
Group 6 – Xander Schauffele +2200
Xander Schauffele (6)
Tom Hoge (23)
Aaron Wise (40)
Cam Davis (64)
Xander Schauffele is playing great golf right now. His only fade is that he’s had trouble breaking out of the group rounds in the past. He was T19 at THE PLAYERS and has not missed the weekend in any event this season which shows a level of consistency.
Group 7 – Harris English +9000
Will Zalatoris (7)
Ryan Fox (29)
Harris English (37)
Andrew Putnam (56)
Harris English has an amazing poker face and is deadly on the greens when in a tight match. He seems to be getting past his injury from last season. And, he’s a nice value pick at +9000.
Group 8 – Chris Kirk +7500
Viktor Hovland (8)
Chris Kirk (28)
Si Woo Kim (34)
Matt Kuchar (59)
Chris Kirk showed how good he can play a few weeks ago. He put his long and short game together at the Honda Classic. He was T3 and 3rd in his outings before that. He had a natural letdown and missed the cut at THE PLAYERS but I’m still taking him in this group.
Group 9 – Jason Day +3300
Collin Morikawa (9)
Jason Day (32)
Adam Svensson (44)
Victor Perez (51)
Jason Day has looked great this season! I’m leaning on him over Collin Morikawa in this group. Day was T19 at THE PLAYERS and should have had a better finish – he’ll probably tell you that. He’s on a string of six-straight top-20 finishes.
Group 10 – Tony Finau +2800
Tony Finau (10)
Kurt Kitayama (19)
Adrian Meronk (45)
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (60)
Tony Finau has a great short game and strong putter which is a huge plus in match-play events. T19 at THE PLAYERS and already has a win this season.
Group 11 – Sahith Theegala +6600
Matt Fitzpatrick (11)
Sahith Theegala (26)
Min Woo Lee (41)
J.J. Spaun (61)
I’ve been waiting for Sahith Theegala to break through and this is the perfect place for him to do so. He can be deadly with approach shots and avoids trouble off the tee. Multiple finishes of T6 or better this season.
Group 12 – Shane Lowry +4500
Jordan Spieth (12)
Shane Lowry (21)
Taylor Montgomery (47)
Mackenzie Hughes (50)
I’m loving Shane Lowry, especially at +4500, over Jordan Speith to advance from this group. Lowry has a great game and mindset for match-play and could use the round-robin format to his advantage. My fade on Spieth, which I may live to regret, he missed some crucial “match-play” type of shots last week.
Group 13 – Sam Burns +3500
Sam Burns (13)
Seamus Power (30)
Adam Scott (33)
Adam Hadwin (53)
My pick in group 13 is Sam Burns as he carded a 6th-place finish last week and he’s been a threat several times this season. He missed the weekend twice recently but has been finishing 12th or better for much of the year.
Group 14 – Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Tyrrell Hatton (14)
Russell Henley (31)
Lucas Herbert (46)
Ben Griffin (62)
Tyrrell Hatton has made a habit of advancing out of the group rounds only to be taken out before the final. However, his game looks well-rounded this season and he is coming off a T4 at Bay Hill.
Group 15 – Cameron Young +3500
Cameron Young (15)
Sepp Straka (27)
Corey Conners (36)
Davis Thompson (57)
I was leaning toward Sepp Straka for this pick but shifted to Cameron Young. This is because he has the legendary caddy – Paul Tesori – on his bag now. Tesori moves over from Webb Simpson and brings a ton of knowledge. This could be the move that helps Young progress even further.
Group 16 – Tommy Fleetwood +4500
Sungjae Im (16)
Tommy Fleetwood (24)
J.T. Poston (43)
Maverick McNealy (58)
Tommy Fleetwood was making a move for the win last week but ran out of holes at the end. He comes in with a solid driver, a few wild shots last week, but it looks as if his putter is more than solid. Finished T3 last week.
2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Odds
* odds subject to change
Scottie Scheffler +800
Jon Rahm +1100
Rory McIlroy +1200
Collin Morikawa +2000
Max Homa +2000
Viktor Hovland +2200
Xander Schauffele +2200
Jordan Spieth +2200
Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Tony Finau +2800
Sungjae Im +2800
Will Zalatoris +3300
Jason Day +3300
Sam Burns +3500
Cameron Young +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4500
Tom Kim +4500
Hideki Matsuyama +4500
Shane Lowry +4500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Rickie Fowler +5500
Keith Mitchell +6000
Corey Conners +6000
Sahith Theegala +6600
Tom Hoge +6600
Chris Kirk +7500
Billy Horschel +7500
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Min Woo Lee +8000
Taylor Montgomery +8000
Adam Hadwin +8000
Davis Riley +8000
Brian Harman +8000
Adam Scott +8000
Si-Woo Kim +8000
Seamus Power +8000
Alex Noren +8000
Denny McCarthy +8000
Harris English +9000
Matt Kuchar +9000
Russell Henley +9000
Justin Suh +10000
Kevin Kisner +10000
Ryan Fox +10000
Aaron Wise +10000
Maverick McNealy +10000
Patrick Cantlay +12500
JT Poston +12500
Cameron Davis +12500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +12500
Adam Svensson +12500
Adrian Meronk +12500
Lucas Herbert +12500
Victor Perez +12500
Andrew Putnam +12500
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Ben Griffin +15000
JJ Spaun +15000
Davis Thompson +17500
Sepp Straka +17500
Scott Stallings +17500
