2023 F1 Mexican Grand Prix Predictions & Preview 

Joe Berra
in
-

Start your engines, strap yourselves in, and get ready to race through my 2023 F1 Mexican Grand Prix predictions and picks! 

The Mexican GP goes down at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez this Sunday, October 29. Will Max Verstappen dominate the field once again? Or could an outsider upset the odds in Mexico City? 

My 2023 Mexican Grand Prix preview covers all the bases, including a review of last weekend’s race, an assessment of the latest F1 odds, and of course, my Mexican Grand Prix predictions. 

United States Grand Prix Review 

You will be pleased to learn that two of my three F1 picks came to fruition last weekend, including a huge +400 winner! Let’s hope that my Mexican Grand Prix predictions have the same effect this weekend. 

Unsurprisingly, I backed Max Verstappen (-400) to win the United States Grand Prix. The already-crowned champion ended up securing his 15th victory of the season, meaning he has won 83% of the races in 2023. 

I also backed Yuki Tsunoda (+400) to finish in the top 10, and the Japanese driver did not let me down. Hopefully, you took advantage of Tsunoda’s giant odds and reaped the rewards. 

Behind Verstappen, Lando Norris and Carlos Sainz finished on the podium in Austin, Texas. Norris has finished second in five of the previous nine races, making him a great bet for the Mexican GP. 

2023 Mexican Grand Prix Preview 

Mexico City’s iconic Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez will stage the 2023 F1 Mexican Grand Prix. With a circuit length of 4.304 km (2.674 miles), Sunday’s race will take place over 71 laps. 

Max Verstappen won last year’s Mexican GP, with Lewis Hamilton and Sergio Perez completing the podium lineup. As a result, no driver has won more F1 races in Mexico City than Verstappen, who has four victories to his name. 

Before I reveal my Mexican Grand Prix predictions, we need to assess the outright odds for this weekend. Of course, one man continues to stand out from the crowd, but there is plenty of value to be found elsewhere. 

Mexican Grand Prix Outright Odds 

  • Max Verstappen (-350) 
  • Sergio Perez (+700) 
  • Lewis Hamilton (+1000) 
  • Lando Norris (+1600) 
  • George Russell (+2200) 
  • Charles Leclerc (+2500) 
  • Carlos Sainz (+2800) 
  • Oscar Piastri (+3300) 
  • Fernando Alonso (+6600) 
  • Esteban Ocon (+25000) 
  • Pierre Gasly (+25000) 
  • Alex Albon (+50000) 
  • Daniel Ricciardo (+50000) 
  • Guanyu Zhou (+50000) 
  • Kevin Magnussen (+50000) 
  • Lance Stroll (+50000) 
  • Logan Sargeant (+50000) 
  • Nico Hulkenberg (+50000) 
  • Valtteri Bottas (+50000) 
  • Yuki Tsunodo (+50000) 

As expected, Verstappen (-350) is the bookies’ clear favorite to win the Mexican GP. That said, we can enjoy a slight price rise this weekend, as the runaway leader was priced at -400 to win last weekend’s race in Austin. 

Racing on home soil in front of his adoring fans, Sergio Perez (+700) is the second favorite to take the chequered flag on Sunday. Lewis Hamilton (+1000), Lando Norris (+1600) George Russell (+2200) round out the top five. 

Charles Leclerc (+2500), Carlos Sainz (+2800), Oscar Piastri (+3300) and Fernando Alonso (+6600) are the only other drivers priced under +25000. That tells you everything you need to know about the chances of the remaining 11 drivers. 

Mexican Grand Prix Predictions and Picks 

As I already mentioned, I enjoyed plenty of success with my F1 picks last weekend. I was confident that Verstappen would win the race, but Tsunoda’s top-10 finish was extremely satisfying at +400. 

The only driver to let me down was Oscar Piastri, who registered a DNF in Texas. However, the McLaren drivers are enjoying a strong end to the season, so I won’t be put off by last weekend’s result. 

My Mexican Grand Prix predictions concern the race winner, podium and fastest lap. Having scoured the bookies’ odds to find the best bets for this weekend, I’m confident that we can all land a sizeable profit this weekend. 

Max Verstappen to Win (-350) 

Verstappen has already smashed multiple F1 records in 2023, and the Red Bull superstar isn’t showing any signs of slowing down. If anything, the world champion is improving with every passing race, which is why I’m backing him to triumph once again this weekend. 

Not only has Verstappen won each of the last three races, but he has also won 13 of the previous 14. When you look at the bigger picture, the Dutchman has won 15 of the 18 races this season. 

I was happy to back Verstappen at -400 last time out, so I’m more than happy to back him at -350 this weekend. Sure, these are not worth getting overly excited about, but they still present decent value when you consider Verstappen’s dominance. 

Lando Norris to Finish on the Podium (+130) 

Lando Norris is arguably the most improved driver in F1 this year. Yes, McLaren has upped its game on the manufacturing side of things, but Norris has taken his driving to another level in 2023. 

In fact, the 23-year-old has notched six top-three finishes in the previous nine races, including five P2 finishes. It is also worth noting that Norris has secured a spot on the podium in each of the last four races. 

With that in mind, odds of +130 for Norris to finish in the top three are too tasty to ignore. The bookies believe that Verstappen, Perez and Hamilton will finish ahead of Norris, but I can see him upsetting the odds once again. 

Lewis Hamilton to Record the Fastest Lap (+700) 

The fastest lap odds for the Mexican GP make for interesting reading. You won’t be surprised to learn that Verstappen is the favorite at -163, but the second favorite is Hamilton, and he is priced all the way up at +700. 

Since Hamilton has recorded the fastest lap in three of the previous 13 races, odds of +700 look very attractive. It is also worth remembering that Tsunoda snatched the fastest lap last weekend, proving that Verstappen is beatable. 

On top of that, Hamilton knows the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez better than most drivers. Having won the Mexican GP in 2016 and 2019, the seven-time world champion knows what it takes to be successful in Mexico City. 

Gear Up Your Mexican Grand Prix Predictions 

Now that you’ve seen my Mexican Grand Prix predictions, it’s time to lock in your picks for Sunday’s race. There are lots of different markets to make use of, so be sure to explore all the options. 

Remember that we can also use the data from Friday’s practice sessions and Saturday’s qualifying sessions to aid our bets. It is worth pointing out, however, that the odds will change during and after these sessions. 

Be sure to stick with Sports Hub for more F1 predictions, picks and general betting advice. With four races remaining this season, there is no shortage of F1 betting opportunities on offer.

About the Author
Joe Berra
Joe Berra
Sports Writer
Content Covered on SportsHub: Blog and News
Click to Contact
Joe takes care of the bits and pieces that sometimes slip through the cracks of the sports world. Efficiency and consistency is what makes SportsHub.com different. JB helps keep Sports Hub’s content fresh and exciting, managing its many authors. From the New York area, Joe knew he had a knack for sports betting when his uncle was always asking him which side he was on as a young boy. His meticulous approach to the numbers formed his career path as a professional handicapper. Joe is sometimes called Jimmy Bagpipes, JB or Mr. B.