2023 F1 Italian Grand Prix Predictions & Preview 


Have you made your Italian Grand Prix predictions for this weekend? If the answer to that question is no, allow me to point you in the right direction. 

Having won each of the last nine races – and 11 of the 13 races this season – Max Verstappen is on course to shatter countless records in 2023, but the reigning champion’s hot streak must come to an end eventually, right? 

Keep reading to discover my Italian Grand Prix predictions, along with my recommended bets for Sunday’s race. First, let’s recap the previous race and assess the latest F1 odds. 

What Happened in the Previous Grand Prix? 

Unsurprisingly, Max Verstappen triumphed in the Netherlands last weekend. The Dutchman finished 3.7 seconds clear of Fernando Alonso in his home Grand Prix, while Pierre Gasly secured the third and final podium spot. 

Sergio Perez and Carlos Sainz completed the top five, with Lewis Hamilton, Lando Norris, Alex Albon, Oscar Piastri, and Esteban Ocon picking up the remainder of the points. On the flip side, Logan Sargeant, Charles Leclerc, and Zhou Guanyu recorded DNFs. 

Having amassed a whopping 339 points from 13 races, Verstappen now finds himself 138 points clear of Perez in the World Drivers’ Championship standings. To put things into perspective, Verstappen registered 395.5 points in 22 races back in 2021. 

Before we get to my Italian Grand Prix predictions, we need to preview the race. In the next section of this Italian GP betting guide, I cover all the key details and break down the bookies’ latest outright odds. 

2023 F1 Italian Grand Prix Preview and Odds 

The 2023 Italian Grand Prix goes down at the iconic Autodromo Nazionale Monza this Sunday, September 3. The race will take place over 53 laps of the 5.793-kilometer circuit. 

Prior to the main event, the drivers and teams will participate in practice and qualifying. The qualification process will take place on Saturday, September 2, giving us a better indication of how the race will pan out. 

Here are the current outright odds for the 2023 Italian GP: 

  • Max Verstappen (-300) 
  • Sergio Perez (+850) 
  • Lewis Hamilton (+2000) 
  • Fernando Alonso (+2000) 
  • Charles Leclerc (+2000) 
  • Lando Norris (+2500) 
  • George Russell (+2500) 
  • Carlos Sainz (+3300) 
  • Oscar Piastri (+5000) 
  • Alex Albon (+10000) 
  • Lance Stroll (+15000) 
  • Pierre Gasly (+25000) 
  • Esteban Ocon (+25000) 
  • Logan Sargeant (+25000) 
  • Yuki Tsunoda (+50000) 
  • Valtteri Bottas (+75000) 
  • Zhou Guanyu (+100000) 
  • Liam Lawson (+150000) 
  • Nico Hulkenberg (+200000) 
  • Kevin Magnussen (+200000) 

As expected, Verstappen is the clear favorite to take the chequered flag on Sunday. The Red Bull superstar is priced at -300, which isn’t a bad price when you consider his recent dominance. 

Perez is the bookies’ second favorite at +850, while Hamilton, Alonso, and Leclerc are all priced at +2000. Norris, Russell, Sainz, and Piastri are the only other drivers priced under +10000. 

After Daniel Ricciardo broke his hand in a crash last weekend, Liam Lawson will step in for AlphaTauri this weekend. However, the Kiwi rookie – who is priced at +150000 – won’t trouble to top contenders in Italy. 

Anyway, it’s time for me to share my Italian Grand Prix predictions and picks. If you’re looking for some useful Formula 1 betting advice, be sure to keep reading. 

Italian Grand Prix Predictions and Picks 

If you haven’t yet locked in your Italian Grand Prix predictions and picks, you have certainly come to the right place. Below, I share my recommended bets for multiple markets, including the race winner and the top 10. 

The rain-affected Dutch Grand Prix served up plenty of surprises, with Gasly finishing on the podium for the first time this season. Albon, Piastri, and Ocon also finished in the points last weekend, giving bettors plenty to think about. 

Well, I’ve made you wait long enough, so it’s about time that I give you what you’re here for. Here are my 2023 Italian Grand Prix predictions and betting picks. 

Max Verstappen to Win (-300) 

If you’ve been following the Formula 1 action this season, you won’t be surprised to learn that I’m backing Verstappen to win the Italian GP. After all, the defending champion has totally dominated proceedings in 2023. 

Not only has Verstappen won each of the last nine races, but he has also won 11 of the 13 races this season. As a result, the 25-year-old holds a seemingly unassailable lead at the summit of the World Drivers’ Championship standings. 

Of course, odds of -300 are nothing to write home about, but since Verstappen has made a mockery of his rivals throughout 2023, this feels like a safe bet. 

Alex Albon Top 10 Finish (-200) 

Albon heads into the Italian Grand Prix on the back of an impressive eighth-place finish in the Dutch GP. After making a slow start to the season, the Williams drivers had climbed the standings in recent weeks. 

Following a seventh-place finish in Canada back in June, Albon claimed P8 in the British Grand Prix before narrowly missing out on the points in Hungary, finishing 11th in the final race before the summer break. 

Having notched three top-10 finishes in the past six races – and a couple of P11 rankings for good measure – Albon looks set to enjoy more success at Monza this weekend. 

Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz Top 10 Finish (-160) 

It is no secret that Ferrari has struggled for consistency this year. Not only have the cars failed to keep pace with the Red Bulls, but the drivers – Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz – have flattered to deceive. 

That said, Leclerc and Sainz have chalked up 19 top-10 finishes between them in 2023. On top of that, both drivers have finished in the points in eight of the 13 races this season. 

This bet is for both Ferrari drivers to finish in the top 10 on Sunday. Since Leclerc and Sainz finished fourth and second in the first practice session at Monza on Friday, this price of -160 looks very attractive. 

Lock In Your Italian Grand Prix Predictions 

Don’t let Verstappen’s domination put you off betting on Formula 1. Sure, the reigning champion has won nine consecutive races, but there is still plenty of value to be found in the bookies’ F1 odds. 

My Italian Grand Prix predictions are out in the open, and now it’s time for you to lay down your predictions and picks. Remember – more betting markets will become available after qualifying on Saturday, so be sure to keep your eyes peeled. 

I will be back with more F1 betting advice throughout the second half of the season. With nine races remaining, there will be loads of opportunities to land a tasty profit in the coming months.