Table of Contents
Top seeds held firm across Europe, with Holger Rune, Daniil Medvedev, and Felix Auger-Aliassime all securing semifinal spots in their respective tournaments.
Nordic Open – Stockholm, Sweden
Top-seeded Holger Rune overcame a shaky start and a thigh issue to outlast Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-7 (4), 6-3, 6-4, advancing to the semifinals in Stockholm. Rune landed 83% of his first serves and struck 12 aces in the victory, surviving a third-set medical timeout to have his left leg taped.
The 2022 Stockholm champion will face France’s Ugo Humbert, the fourth seed, who rallied to defeat Lorenzo Sonego 6-7 (3), 6-0, 6-3. Second-seeded Casper Ruud also advanced with a 6-7 (5), 6-4, 6-4 win over Sebastian Korda, setting up a semifinal against the winner of Denis Shapovalov versus Elias Ymer.
Capper Insight: Rune’s improved serve metrics and Humbert’s top-tier second-set break rate make the over in their upcoming match a trending angle for sharp bettors on Tennis Leaderboard.
Almaty Open – Kazakhstan
Daniil Medvedev continued his strong late-season form with a 7-5, 6-2 win over Hungary’s Fabian Marozsan to reach his third consecutive semifinal. The Russian, seeded second, has now reached the final four in Beijing, Shanghai, and Almaty after parting ways with his longtime coach.
Medvedev will face Australian qualifier James Duckworth, who cruised past third-seeded Flavio Cobolli 6-3, 6-2. It marks Duckworth’s second semifinal at this event after reaching the same stage in 2021.
The other semifinal will feature sixth-seeded Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet of France. Michelsen downed Japan’s Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3, 3-6, 6-2, while Moutet handled Germany’s Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4, 7-5.
Capper Insight: Medvedev remains the moneyline favorite, but Duckworth’s serve consistency (78% first-serve win rate this week) positions him as a strong +games play at plus money.
European Open – Brussels, Belgium
Canada’s Felix Auger-Aliassime powered past American Eliot Spizzirri 6-2, 7-6 (6) to reach the semifinals in Brussels. Auger-Aliassime served 11 aces and won 82% of first-serve points in the straight-sets win.
He’ll meet Belgian wild card Raphael Collignon, who upset Spain’s Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6 (5), 6-1. France’s Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard also advanced, taking out top-seeded Lorenzo Musetti 6-4, 7-6 (8). Perricard will next face Jiri Lehecka, who led 4-1 in the third when Benjamin Bonzi retired due to a leg injury.
Capper Insight: Auger-Aliassime’s return game is peaking, but Collignon’s home-court success has made him a live underdog on the Picks Board. Expect a tight first set market with a projected 12.5 over line.
Handicappers Roundup
Sean Kuchman continues to lead the daily profit standings with $540 earned across six verified selections. Over the last seven days, Computer Picks has generated $1,000 in winnings, followed by Jacob Hoffman ($808) and Kuchman ($762).
Seth Cohen tops the 14-day leaderboard at $1,087, ahead of Ryan Davis ($822) and Coach Rick ($795). All three remain active heading into the weekend’s ATP and WTA slates.
Track the latest tennis profits and verified picks on Sportshub Handicappers.