Midweek ATP action saw Denis Shapovalov silence a home crowd in Stockholm, Casper Ruud ease through, and Jiri Lehecka continue his strong hard-court form in Brussels.

BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm, Sweden

Denis Shapovalov overcame Swedish wild card Leo Borg and a packed home crowd to reach the quarterfinals.
The third-seeded Canadian prevailed 6-2, 5-7, 6-1, breaking Borg seven times and firing 18 winners. Borg saved 11 of 18 break points and converted three of his own, but faded in the third set.

Second-seeded Casper Ruud defeated Marin Cilic 7-6 (2), 6-4, improving to 4-0 in their head-to-head. American Aleksander Kovacevic upset No. 8 seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli 4-6, 7-5, 4-0 (retired).

Sebastian Korda, Marton Fucsovics, and Lorenzo Sonego also moved into the next round.

Capper Insight: Stockholm’s indoor courts have continued to reward aggressive servers. Underdogs covering +3.5 games have cashed in four of the last six matches, a detail noted in the Bettors Handbook.

BNP Paribas Fortis European Open – Brussels, Belgium

Jiri Lehecka dominated on serve and rolled past Belgian Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-3, 6-2.
The third-seeded Czech held a decisive 11-0 ace edge and improved to 27-11 on hard courts this season — fifth-best on the ATP Tour.

Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina overcame Marcos Giron 6-7 (5), 6-1, 6-4 after dropping the first set, while home wild card Raphael Collignon edged Francisco Comesana 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 (10).

Benjamin Bonzi, Nikoloz Basilashvili, Damir Dzumhur, and Yannick Hanfmann also reached the quarterfinals.

Capper Insight: Lehecka’s serve form has made him a reliable spread pick since August. He’s now 8-1 ATS when favored by fewer than four games — a stat closely tracked by top Handicappers.

Almaty Open – Almaty, Kazakhstan

Flavio Cobolli snapped a two-match skid and reached the quarterfinals by defeating Rinky Hijikata 6-4, 7-5.
The Italian, who has titles this year in Hamburg and Bucharest, will next face Australian qualifier James Duckworth, who stunned No. 7 seed Gabriel Diallo 7-6 (3), 6-7 (3), 6-4.

Sixth seed Alex Michelsen ended his five-match slide by beating Bebit Zhukayev 6-2, 6-3. Fabian Marozsan upset No. 5 Brandon Nakashima 7-6 (5), 6-1.

Other winners included Shintaro Mochizuki, Corentin Moutet, and Jan-Lennard Struff, who will face top seed Karen Khachanov in the next round.

Capper Insight: Almaty’s faster surface has favored returners over servers so far this week, flipping previous years’ metrics — a development Premium members are tracking through Odds & Scores.

Handicappers Roundup

Sean Kuchman leads the leaderboard with $540 won across six selections. Info Plays follows with $285 and James Acker with $217. Evan Lewis posted $200, while Tim Michael rounds out the top five at $125.

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