Table of Contents
Three events, three very different paths to the final. Abu Dhabi gave bettors the high-drama script with a match point saved and a tiebreak flip. Ostrava was more clinical, with break-point conversion doing most of the separating. Transylvania was the grind, where break chances and deciding-set execution finally mattered.
For the framework on how to read these match states, this Sportshub guide is the baseline: tips for betting on tennis.
Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandrova vs Bejlek set the final
Ekaterina Alexandrova def. Hailey Baptiste, 3-6, 7-6 (5), 6-3
Alexandrova was one point from going out, saved a match point down 5-4 in the second set, then controlled her serve, won the tiebreak, and finished the third. From a betting lens, this is the match you remember when you’re weighing live positions late in Set 2. One saved match point can completely reset the pressure and flip the favorite back into control.
Sara Bejlek def. Clara Tauson, 7-5, 3-6, 7-5
Bejlek’s run is the profile bettors keep underlining because she came through qualifying and still keeps finding ways to win the key sets. She has dropped only one set in the main draw and now reaches her first WTA final. Tauson took the second set, but Bejlek’s third-set close is what carried it.
Ostrava Open: Boulter vs Korpatsch in the final
Katie Boulter def. Katie Volynets, 6-1, 6-3
Boulter converted five of 11 break chances and was broken only once, which is a clean signal of control. She also won 69.7% of first-serve points and went 11-for-12 in the first set. For bettors, that’s the kind of efficient hold plus pressure on return that keeps the match from ever turning volatile.
Tamara Korpatsch def. Diane Parry, 6-4, 6-4
Korpatsch got through despite six double faults, and saving six of nine break points is the key detail. That’s often the difference between a straight-set win and a third set, especially when you’re leaking free points.
Transylvania Open: Raducanu vs Cirstea for the title
Emma Raducanu def. Oleksandra Oliynykova, 7-5, 3-6, 6-3
This was a long back-and-forth match, and the serve percentages were almost identical. The separating factor was Raducanu creating six break chances in the third set and converting two of them, which also snapped her six-match skid in deciding sets. Bettors care about that because it’s a very specific “can you close?” note, and here she did.
Sorana Cirstea def. Daria Snigur, 6-0, 6-3
Cirstea kept it simple: no service breaks against her, and four breaks going the other way. A 56-minute win like that is usually a sign the gap showed up immediately and never closed.
