Premier League Weekly Picks
Sharp soccer service plays, odds insight, and matchday predictions in one spot.
Bet smarter with expert football picks from Sports Hub. Our top-rated handicappers deliver premium service plays backed by exclusive data and in-depth analysis. Whether it’s the NFL, college football, or international leagues, we provide sharp betting insights year-round. Get the best value picks, updated odds, and expert predictions to maximize your profits all season long.
Unlock 3,000 Picks for Only $9 First Month Special!
Sign Up For A Free SportsHub Account To Get Started!
100% Mobile
Prop Builder
24/7 Support
Latest Premier League Picks
The EPL is a market where the easiest bet is usually the worst bet. Moneylines are priced with draw equity baked in, favorites are routinely taxed, and the cleanest angles often live in spreads and totals—because those markets map more directly to how the match is expected to play. If you can’t articulate the script, you probably shouldn’t be laying a short price.
This Matchday 26 slate mixes big-favorite spots with a cluster of tight games that are basically one-moment coin flips. That means the edge comes from choosing the right expression: protection when the draw is live, and totals when tempo and chance creation are the real story.
Premier League Matchday 26 – Expert Betting Breakdown
You’ve got premium favorites (City, Liverpool) where the decision is never “do they win,” it’s “do they win by enough—and do they keep scoring after they lead?” Those games can look safe on ML and still be terrible value. If you’re backing them, you need a spread or a script-based total that pays you for the dominance.
Then you’ve got the draw-heavy middle: Spurs–Newcastle, Everton–Bournemouth, Forest–Wolves, Villa–Brighton. These lines are usually efficient on ML because the market understands the parity. If you want to bet them, you’re better off buying protection on the spread or targeting totals based on how open the game should be.
Finally, the perception games—United, Chelsea, Arsenal—where bettors overpay for the badge and ignore the matchup. That’s where discipline shows. Sometimes the number is still right and you pass. Sometimes it’s inflated and you lean into the ugly side.
Bet Soccer With an Edge
Follow 100+ verified soccer handicappers.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | +120 | -0.25 (-110) | Over 2.75 (-115) |
| Newcastle | +220 | +0.25 (-110) | Under 2.75 (-105) |
| Draw | +255 | — | — |
Small home favorite, real draw weight, and a high total—this is a volatility game. Spurs are slightly preferred, but the market isn’t giving you a discount to bet them ML, which pushes me toward the total.
Lineup and injury specifics are unclear from the screenshot. Without verified info, the handicap leans on style: both sides can create chances and both can get punished in transition.
Betting angle: Over 2.75 fits a match that can swing quickly and generate enough shots to clear three goals. Risk is one team grabbing a lead and choosing control, which can slow the final 30 minutes.
Best Bet: Register Now!
Chelsea vs Leeds Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | -145 | -0.5 (-115) | Over 2.75 (-105) |
| Leeds | +360 | +0.5 (-105) | Under 2.75 (-115) |
| Draw | +290 | — | — |
Chelsea are favored, but not enough to make ML feel comfortable. The spread -0.5 is the straightforward way to back them if you think they’re the better side and can create the clearer chances.
Team news is unclear. So the read becomes about chaos: if Leeds press and chase, the game gets more open; if they sit, Chelsea can dominate without necessarily producing a blowout.
Betting angle: Chelsea -0.5 is the clean stance. Risk is Chelsea failing to turn possession into high-quality looks, which leaves you exposed to a draw.
Best Bet: Register Now!
Everton vs Bournemouth Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | +145 | pk/0 (-110) | Over 2.25 (-105) |
| Bournemouth | +200 | pk/0 (-110) | Under 2.25 (-115) |
| Draw | +240 | — | — |
This is basically a pick’em. When the market is this tight, you don’t get paid to guess winner—so I’d rather play a script total than rely on a thin ML edge.
Lineups are unclear. The expected flow is physical and moment-driven, which tends to compress scoring unless an early goal changes incentives.
Betting angle: Under 2.25 is the disciplined side in a match that projects narrow. Risk is an early opener that forces the trailing team to open up and creates second-half chaos.
Best Bet: Register Now!
West Ham vs Manchester United Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | +170 | +0.25 (-110) | Over 2.5 (-110) |
| Manchester United | +165 | -0.25 (-110) | Under 2.5 (-110) |
| Draw | +245 | — | — |
This is effectively a coin flip with the book refusing to commit. That usually means draw equity is strong and any side bet should include protection.
Availability is unclear, so I’m not making player-based claims. Structurally, both sides can create via transitions, which keeps the match from being a pure under—unless the midfield becomes overly cautious.
Betting angle: West Ham +0.25 gives you the best bankroll profile against a draw-heavy distribution. Risk is United producing a couple of high-leverage chances that decide the match even if they’re second-best in open play.
Best Bet: West Ham +0.25 (-110)
Nottingham Forest vs Wolves Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | +155 | pk/0 (-110) | Over 2.25 (+100) |
| Wolves | +190 | pk/0 (-110) | Under 2.25 (-120) |
| Draw | +235 | — | — |
Tight market, draw-heavy profile, and a total shaded under. That combination usually means a match where neither side wants to get stretched, and goals come from isolated moments.
Team info is unclear. The handicap here is purely about distribution: low-event, narrow scorelines, and high importance of first goal.
Betting angle: Under 2.25 is the correct script bet. Risk is an early goal flipping the incentives and forcing the game to open up.
Best Bet: Register Now!
Aston Villa vs Brighton Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | +135 | -0.25 (-110) | Over 2.75 (-110) |
| Brighton | +200 | +0.25 (-110) | Under 2.75 (-110) |
| Draw | +255 | — | — |
Villa are a mild favorite, but the 2.75 total is the headline—market expects chances and swing states. That usually means the total is a better bet than picking a thin side edge.
Injuries/rotation are unclear. Stylistically, both sides can produce shot volume, so three goals is a realistic landing zone.
Betting angle: Over 2.75 lets you cash if the game plays open and both sides contribute. Risk is finishing—lots of action, not enough goals.
Best Bet: Register Now!
Crystal Palace vs Burnley Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | -115 | -0.25 (-115) | Over 2.25 (-110) |
| Burnley | +320 | +0.25 (-105) | Under 2.25 (-110) |
| Draw | +255 | — | — |
Palace are favored, but only slightly. The -0.25 spread is the bet that Palace are more likely to win while still limiting draw damage.
Lineups are unclear. With a 2.25 total, the market expects some scoring chances, but not a shootout.
Betting angle: Palace -0.25 is the clean side. Risk is Palace struggling to break down a compact defense and getting stuck in a low-scoring draw.
Best Bet: Crystal Palace -0.25 (-115)
Manchester City vs Fulham Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | -400 | -1.75 (-110) | Over 3.25 (-115) |
| Fulham | +950 | +1.75 (-110) | Under 3.25 (-105) |
| Draw | +525 | — | — |
City ML is pure tax. The actual decision is whether they cover margin, and -1.75 is the truest expression if you think the game stays one-way.
Team rotation is unclear, which matters for the total and the spread. City can dominate without running the score if they go into management mode early.
Betting angle: City -1.75 is the only way to back them with reasonable value. Risk is a “comfortable” 2-0 or a single Fulham goal that ruins the cover.
Best Bet: Manchester City -1.75 (-110)
Sunderland AFC vs Liverpool Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland AFC | +900 | +2.0 (-110) | Over 3.0 (-105) |
| Liverpool | -450 | -2.0 (-110) | Under 3.0 (-115) |
| Draw | +550 | — | — |
Liverpool are priced to win, so the market is really asking you to handicap intent and margin. -2 is reachable if Liverpool push for a third, but rotation/management risk is always the danger.
Lineup context is unclear. If Liverpool are clinical early, the match can open and the total comes into play quickly.
Betting angle: Over 3.0 captures Liverpool dominance without needing a perfect spread cover. Risk is Liverpool going up 2-0 and shutting it down.
Best Bet: Register Now!
Brentford vs Arsenal Predictions
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | +500 | +1.0 (-110) | Over 2.75 (-110) |
| Arsenal | -185 | -1.0 (-110) | Under 2.75 (-110) |
| Draw | +310 | — | — |
Arsenal are a real road favorite, but not immune to a one-goal win or a draw. The -1 spread is the right market because it prices the most common landing spot (Arsenal by one) as a push.
Team news is unclear. Brentford can make this uncomfortable, which is why I prefer the spread over the ML.
Betting angle: Arsenal -1 is the best expression if you’re backing them. Risk is a narrow 1-0 or a 1-1 where set pieces or finishing variance decide it.
Best Bet: Register Now!
How to Bet on the Premier League
Anyone who has bet soccer will recognize these markets. Here’s how they play in England.
Match Result (1X2)
Bet home win (1), draw (X), or away win (2). Home edge exists but is smaller at the elite clubs. Late XI news can flip prices fast.
Over/Under Goals
Totals often open at 2.5. Set pieces drive a larger share of goals than Germany. Adjust for schedule congestion and game state.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Strong in matchups with pressing vs transition styles. Derby intensity and defensive rotations raise BTTS likelihood. Avoid when one side sits in a deep block and protects the box.
Asian Handicaps
Reduce draw risk with spread-style lines like –0.25 or +0.75. Useful in tight “Big Six vs mid-table” spots where the favorite controls territory but margins are thin.
Player Props
Goals, assists, shots, and cards are widely priced. Target set-piece takers, aerial CBs, and high-volume shooters. Factor VAR/SAOT for tight offside calls and Thursday-Sunday rotation for European clubs.
Key Factors of Handicapping the Premier League
| Factor | What to monitor | How to turn it into bets |
|---|---|---|
| Team form and momentum | Non-penalty xG, big chances created/conceded, set-piece production over the last 4–6 matches rather than just results. | Upgrade teams whose underlying numbers outpace results; fade those winning on low xG or keeper heroics. Adjust sides, totals, and props toward the truer underlying form. |
| Injuries and suspensions | Missing fullbacks, holding mids, and center-backs; yellow-card bans; late XI changes. | Downgrade defenses missing key screeners or wide defenders (more shots and chances conceded). Totals and “both teams to score” move up; unders become more attractive when defensive depth is intact. |
| Tactical matchups | Pressing teams vs low blocks, wide overloads vs narrow midfields, set-piece strength vs aerial weakness. | Look for stylistic edges: pressing sides can smother slow build-up teams; strong wide attacks punish narrow blocks; aerially dominant teams have set-piece and first-goal value. |
| Home vs away splits | Home records for mid-table and lower sides, plus shot and xG splits by venue. | Home edge is smaller for elite clubs but real for crowded mid-table. Some teams are “home bullies” via set pieces and direct play; lean to home sides and goal props in those spots. |
| Weather and pitch | Rain, wind, heavy or cut-up surfaces, winter night conditions. | Poor pitches and bad weather slow tempo and reduce shot quality. Lean to unders and fewer shots unless an early goal forces the match to open up. |
| Schedule density and Europe | Thursday–Sunday turnarounds, long European away trips, rotation risk. | Thin squads off Europa/Conference League travel are prone to fatigue and heavy rotation. Fade these sides on short rest; totals can lean under if managers protect legs. |
| Referees, VAR, and SAOT | Referee card and penalty tendencies; impact of semi-automated offside on marginal runs. | High-card refs boost bookings and penalty odds; low-card refs favor unders in cards markets. SAOT cuts down on tiny onside margins, slightly trimming “anytime scorer” value for poachers living on the last line. |
| Set pieces | Corners won, set-piece xG, delivery quality, and defensive organization (zonal vs mixed). | Premier League matches get a high share of goals from restarts. Target corner markets, first-goal from a set piece, and center-back shot/goal props against weak zonal units. |
| Travel and rest | Days between fixtures, travel distance, and rotations on two-day turnarounds. | Domestic travel is light, but rest edges are real. On short turnarounds, pressing teams often dial back intensity or sit higher-energy players; this can favor opponents and promote slower, cagier game scripts. |
Top Premier League Handicappers
Meet the experts behind our picks. Records are verified and updated daily. This block highlights profit leaders and high-form cappers for Premier League only, with quick access to profiles and current plays.
