ATP roundup: Alexandre Muller rallies in third set to prevail in Athens

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Monday’s ATP slate split between Athens and Metz featured comebacks, tiebreak drama, and a strong showing from veteran names. Handicappers tracking serve performance and early-round pacing found ideal angles from the Odds & Scores feed.

Hellenic Championships (Athens)

Fifth-seeded Alexandre Muller survived a tense finish to edge Germany’s Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3, 2-6, 7-6 (6). Muller dropped serve while trying to close the match, then erased a 0-4 deficit in the final tiebreak before sealing victory on his second match point.

Stan Wawrinka rallied from a set down to defeat Botic van de Zandschulp 2-6, 7-6 (5), 7-5, setting up a second-round clash with No. 2 seed Lorenzo Musetti. Damir Dzumhur, Miomir Kecmanovic, Vit Kopriva, and Eliot Spizzirri also advanced on Athens’ hard courts.

Capper Insight: Ross Walker noted before play that Muller’s mid-paced baseline style “translates perfectly to indoor conditions,” a prediction that lined up with sharp betting interest on the over 22.5 total games at the Bettors Handbook.

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Moselle Open (Metz)

Seventh-seeded Cameron Norrie overcame a rough second-set breaker to outlast France’s Valentin Royer 6-3, 6-7 (2), 6-3. Both fired 10 aces, but Norrie’s early third-set break decided the outcome.

Matteo Berrettini, returning from injury, dismissed Quentin Halys 6-2, 6-4. Other winners included Lorenzo Sonego, Clement Tabur, Vitaliy Sachko, and 19-year-old American Learner Tien, who needed only 66 minutes to beat Ugo Blanchet 6-3, 6-3.

Capper Insight: Diego Garcia described Norrie as “a stabilizer in volatile draws,” emphasizing first-serve percentage and controlled tempo. His approach helped move the market on match totals tracked via the Picks Leaderboard.

Handicappers Roundup

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John Walsh
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