ATP roundup: Carlos Alcaraz avoids injury in Tokyo win

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Japan Open – Tokyo

World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz overcame a taped ankle to beat Argentina’s Sebastian Baez 6-4, 6-2. He’ll face Zizou Bergs next, who rallied past Alejandro Tabilo in back-to-back tiebreaks. Bettors monitoring MLB odds and scores also track tennis during the fall swing, where line moves can mirror MLB volatility.

Key Results – Tokyo First Round

WinnerResult
Carlos Alcaraz (1)def. Sebastian Baez 6-4, 6-2
Taylor Fritz (2)def. Gabriel Diallo 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 (3)
Holger Rune (3)def. Hamad Medjedovic 7-6 (7), 6-1
Casper Ruud (4)def. Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6, 6-1, 6-1
Sho Shimabukurodef. Tomas Machac (5) 6-3, 7-6 (4)
Jenson Brooksbydef. Ugo Humbert (6) 7-6 (4), 6-3

Betting Notes:

  • Alcaraz still covered as a strong favorite, though bettors should watch his ankle.
  • Upsets by Shimabukuro and Brooksby paid big for underdog players listed on the handicappers board.
  • Fritz’s three-set win hit the Over, something often flagged in service plays.

China Open – Beijing

Top seed Jannik Sinner dismantled Marin Cilic 6-2, 6-2 in 82 minutes. It was Sinner’s first match since falling to Alcaraz in the U.S. Open final, and he showed no letdown.

Key Results – Beijing First Round

WinnerResult
Jannik Sinner (1)def. Marin Cilic 6-2, 6-2
Terence Atmanedef. Zhizhen Zhang 6-4, 6-2
Alexandre Mullerdef. Karen Khachanov (5) 4-6, 7-6 (5), 6-4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokinadef. Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1, 6-3
Fabian Marozsandef. Benjamin Bonzi 7-6 (1), 6-3

Betting Notes:

  • Sinner’s dominance rewarded spread and Under backers, highlighted on free plays.
  • Muller’s upset over Khachanov produced one of the day’s best underdog tickets, tracked on the service plays leaderboard.
  • Bettors comparing markets across sports picks sites saw wide variance in the Khachanov line, underlining the value of line shopping.

What It Means Moving Forward

  • Alcaraz advances but injury questions linger. His price may soften in upcoming matches, offering potential contrarian value.
  • Sinner looks every bit like the Beijing favorite, rewarding premium subscribers who invest via pricing packages.
  • Bettors can lean on handicappers and service plays across sports for consistent strategy, since tennis upsets often mirror volatility seen in baseball and basketball markets.

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John Walsh
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